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Saturday, April 27, 2024
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MacroSutra

How Japan’s return to positive interest rates after 17 years could impact world economies

Meanwhile, the European Central Bank & US Federal Reserve left rates unchanged but signalled that they'll start cutting rates this year.

Merchandise & services exports soar, trade deficit shrinks — how India’s exports have rebounded

This comes when many global agencies have revised upwards their global growth projections for 2024, which could further boost exports. US India’s top export destination, followed by UAE.

Shortfall in central grants to poor quality of expenditure — what budgets of Bihar, Punjab & UP show

For FY25, Bihar's assumption of revenue surplus seems optimistic, while UP's seems doable. In Punjab, main concern is that targeted reduction in fiscal deficit is to come by cutting capex.

Lower on food, higher on conveyance & durables — how consumption patterns changed in past decade

Household Consumption Expenditure Survey shows urban-rural gap has narrowed, particularly at lower levels of consumption, implying effectiveness of govt policies in improving rural incomes.

How India’s GDP grew by 8.4% in Q3, propelled by strong performance in industrial & services sectors

And despite a 0.8% contraction in the agricultural sector, the overall Q3 performance has prompted an upward revision in full-year growth estimates to 7.6% in the 2nd Advance Estimates.

Subdued growth in household consumption & rural sales but companies optimistic of gradual pick-up

Data in light of Advance GDP Estimates presents mixed picture of sales of passenger vehicles, improvement in indices capturing primary, capital & intermediate goods production.

India’s resilient economy faces risks from Red Sea, higher US inflation & patchy recovery in China

The domestic economy continues to show resilience as reflected in the robust growth projections for the coming year. However, global challenges could pose headwinds...

Uncertainty over food & oil prices — why India, like other countries, held its policy rates steady

Most global central banks acknowledge easing in inflation but note it remains above target. Recent geopolitical disruptions also pose upside risk to inflation, a view held by RBI as well.

Interim budget continues govt’s focus on capex, allocates more for MNREGA to ease rural distress

Capital expenditure for next FY is achievable but could be challenging given this year's under-achievement. Moreover, rise of interest payments doesn't bode well for quality of expenditure.

What to expect from interim budget? Big tax breaks unlikely, welfare schemes could see boost

The interim budget, to be presented on 1 February, is likely to maintain focus on fiscal consolidation along with a thrust on capital expenditure, although at a moderated pace. 

On Camera

Instagram reels on stoicism are the new rage — they can battle burnout and bigotry

The Romans’ version of stoicism is rapidly picking popularity on Instagram — Marcus Aurelius, Epictetus, and Seneca are some names that get thrown at you when you fire up your screen.

A scrap revolution for recyclists, it’s an opportunity too good to waste

Recycling 'energy-transition metals' - or metals from batteries, electric vehicles and renewable-energy products offers abundant growth potential.

Germany removes restrictions, India can now buy small arms from its firms

Germany’s erstwhile Christian Democratic Union govt, led by Angela Merkel, prevented sale of small arms to police forces in states they perceived had ‘bad human rights record’.

Frontrunner is letting the challenger define this poll campaign. Modi still hasn’t found a big theme

A theme has not yet emerged for BJP & people see lack of a contest, which makes it unexciting. For all these reasons, 2024 is turning out to be an unexpectedly theme-less election.