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Sunday, May 12, 2024
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MacroSutra

In India, households optimistic about state of economy despite rising debt, expect inflation to ease

There also seems to be preference towards physical assets. And while there's good news on headline employment numbers, there has been an increase in share of low-productive jobs.

Private sector green shoots & strong manufacturing, but elevated inflation: India’s FY24 report card

India’s capital market stood out despite global headwinds. Consumption showed uneven growth. Some high frequency indicators point to resilience in urban demand, but rural demand a concern.

How Japan’s return to positive interest rates after 17 years could impact world economies

Meanwhile, the European Central Bank & US Federal Reserve left rates unchanged but signalled that they'll start cutting rates this year.

Merchandise & services exports soar, trade deficit shrinks — how India’s exports have rebounded

This comes when many global agencies have revised upwards their global growth projections for 2024, which could further boost exports. US India’s top export destination, followed by UAE.

Shortfall in central grants to poor quality of expenditure — what budgets of Bihar, Punjab & UP show

For FY25, Bihar's assumption of revenue surplus seems optimistic, while UP's seems doable. In Punjab, main concern is that targeted reduction in fiscal deficit is to come by cutting capex.

Lower on food, higher on conveyance & durables — how consumption patterns changed in past decade

Household Consumption Expenditure Survey shows urban-rural gap has narrowed, particularly at lower levels of consumption, implying effectiveness of govt policies in improving rural incomes.

How India’s GDP grew by 8.4% in Q3, propelled by strong performance in industrial & services sectors

And despite a 0.8% contraction in the agricultural sector, the overall Q3 performance has prompted an upward revision in full-year growth estimates to 7.6% in the 2nd Advance Estimates.

Subdued growth in household consumption & rural sales but companies optimistic of gradual pick-up

Data in light of Advance GDP Estimates presents mixed picture of sales of passenger vehicles, improvement in indices capturing primary, capital & intermediate goods production.

India’s resilient economy faces risks from Red Sea, higher US inflation & patchy recovery in China

The domestic economy continues to show resilience as reflected in the robust growth projections for the coming year. However, global challenges could pose headwinds...

Uncertainty over food & oil prices — why India, like other countries, held its policy rates steady

Most global central banks acknowledge easing in inflation but note it remains above target. Recent geopolitical disruptions also pose upside risk to inflation, a view held by RBI as well.

On Camera

Fourth phase is high noon of 2024 Lok Sabha polls. It could end in a draw for INDIA & NDA

This phase belongs to the ‘non-aligned’ parties. They could play a critical role in the eventuality of a hung parliament, which looks much more likely than it did one month ago.

Day after mass sick leave by employees, Air India Express fires crew members, cancels 85 more flights

About 300 employees had called in sick Wednesday, allegedly in protest against mismanagement of airlines. Remaining staff given ultimatum to rejoin work by end of Thursday.

Pensionless Maha Vir Chakra awardee who trained Mukti Bahini continues to fight for rights

Chiman Singh, injured in 1971 India-Pakistan war, was discharged as non-pensioner in 1972. In his petition, he states denial of pension is contrary to settled law.

What’s common between Netflix Chamkila and Trudeau’s trouble-infested Canada? They don’t get Punjab

Even in the weeks leading up to Chamkila’s assassination there were massacres every other day. To airbrush all of this is sheer intellectual cowardice if not a crime.