The needle on a dial measuring animal spirits remained static as 4 of 8 high-frequency indicators gained in June, 2 were unchanged & rest deteriorated.
Nearly 2,000 trucks carrying goods are stranded at the India-Bangladesh border as Bengal govt has kept Petrapole integrated check post shut despite central govt orders to resume trade.
China has established itself as a major trade partner of South Asia. This mainly reflects the region’s strategic importance for China’s Belt and Road Initiative.
Those trying to vitiate the atmosphere must pay heed to RSS chief Mohan Bhagwat who emphasised that national interest must override petty political concerns.
The recently agreed Phase 1 US-China trade agreement reflects the reality that China has far greater clout negotiating with the US than most other countries.
In my view as the finance secretary during UPA II govt, the least RBI could have done was not to further depress the sentiment with doomsday prophecies.
About 300 employees had called in sick Wednesday, allegedly in protest against mismanagement of airlines. Remaining staff given ultimatum to rejoin work by end of Thursday.
Chiman Singh, injured in 1971 India-Pakistan war, was discharged as non-pensioner in 1972. In his petition, he states denial of pension is contrary to settled law.
Even in the weeks leading up to Chamkila’s assassination there were massacres every other day. To airbrush all of this is sheer intellectual cowardice if not a crime.
India is needlessly taking too much time to declare a state of war. Thus the costs to India of maintaining a large troop build up at the LAC is a needless drain.
All senior former Generals of mettle such as General Katoch, General Panag and strategists agree with me that India should, without delay, take military action to push China back to pre 1947 lines.
India’s counter productive Military and Foreign policies: India’s “Make in India” “Uncle Tom” policy is known as Nehruvian Gandhistry which dominates Indian attitudes since 1947 to today:
US will follow its strategy during the First and Second World Wars toe nter the war when both contenders India and China have slugged it out and damaged each other on the side of India in order to clip the wings of its sole challenger. Russia will follow suit to claim some laurels from championing India.
My guess is: The US, Japan, Australia, South Korea and Taiwan will stand with India.
Nepal and Pakistan will stand against India.
Russia, and France will be positive Neutrals while
Myanmar, The Philippines, Indonesia, and Malaysia may be less outspoken positive neutrals.
Srilanka and Bangla Desh will be negative neutrals. The rest will be Neutrals if not Neutered like the Philippines by China as Russia has been by China and the US.
Naturally, as the war progresses the Neutral position will change.
Thus the countries that will stand with India will enter only as the war progresses. The Positive Neutrals will enter once the war shows China at a disadvantage, and the negative neutrals will seek to take advantage of India which will emerge much weakened by the conflict.
India has to fight alone and not be diffident any more. After making adequate military preparations India should invade Tibet in the northeast and occupy as far as Lhasha and then sue for peace and begin negotiations. There will be a war with missile no doubt but without nuclear weapons because after 10 days of this war all the big powers will intervene to stop it and more importantly the oil will run out.
So what are the options? Give up to China and cede the territory. You do this once and you will see them in few year near the TN border. None of the options look pretty for India given the 70 year deep slumberthat we were in and bhai-bhai bonhomie that we got carried away by the way even though it did not exist on the Chinese side. So time has come to face the problem and not admire the various contours of the trouble and write plenty of columns describing the problem. The need of the hour is to leverage the brilliant minds of India to come together and help the government in crafting a non-ambivalent (Jettison weird thoughts like we are non-aligned, we do not commit to anyone but we expect the world to help us approach) muscular policy in countering a rogue and bullying nation like China. We should not be building and reinforcing our apologies packaging and presenting them as solutions in variety of different ways.
India should be pragmatic and deal with the USA on a transactional basis. We should be ready to confront China on our own but just expect USA to help us with the required and relevant equipment. We are dealing with France, Israel and Russia as well and should get the best out of everyone as per our needs. At the same time, we must develop our own capacities and spend enough on defense. We must shed this attitude of looking behind our shoulders to check if some one is helping us! After all, if India cannot take on China in Asia, who will? Indian economy ought to do well for government to be able to spend on defense and that is is the real worry. Unfortunately, Modi is not doing enough for it.
US need not fight for India all it has to do is lease its weapons systems to India at short notice from its nearest bases. Thats more than sufficient to pulverise China to submission and make the Tibet and Xinjiang independent along with Hongkong and Macau. Dismantle CCP in PRC and make Taiwan as the original representative of the democratic China.
India is a big country and should aim the best self-interest of India too. Resources are always limited always, spending too much on weapons restricts the investment of developing the country in general unless those weapons can generate GDP as well.
Tribhuvan Darbari- Though, unequivocally, India has developed great strategic relationships with several nations especially the US and Russia. However, because of their own interests, both of these nations may not prove to be very influential in curbing the China’s aggressive policies towards its neighbors with border disputes. Therefore, all the nations that have border disputes with China and are the victim of Chinese regular bully must make an alliance and force the United Nations and the US to slap some harsh sanctions on China. China is moving forward strategically and if not stopped at the right time, it may become unstoppable, eventually disrupting the economy of the whole world that may have catastrophic outcomes.
#TribhuvanDarbari
India is needlessly taking too much time to declare a state of war. Thus the costs to India of maintaining a large troop build up at the LAC is a needless drain.
All senior former Generals of mettle such as General Katoch, General Panag and strategists agree with me that India should, without delay, take military action to push China back to pre 1947 lines.
India’s counter productive Military and Foreign policies: India’s “Make in India” “Uncle Tom” policy is known as Nehruvian Gandhistry which dominates Indian attitudes since 1947 to today:
US will follow its strategy during the First and Second World Wars toe nter the war when both contenders India and China have slugged it out and damaged each other on the side of India in order to clip the wings of its sole challenger. Russia will follow suit to claim some laurels from championing India.
My guess is: The US, Japan, Australia, South Korea and Taiwan will stand with India.
Nepal and Pakistan will stand against India.
Russia, and France will be positive Neutrals while
Myanmar, The Philippines, Indonesia, and Malaysia may be less outspoken positive neutrals.
Srilanka and Bangla Desh will be negative neutrals. The rest will be Neutrals if not Neutered like the Philippines by China as Russia has been by China and the US.
Naturally, as the war progresses the Neutral position will change.
Thus the countries that will stand with India will enter only as the war progresses. The Positive Neutrals will enter once the war shows China at a disadvantage, and the negative neutrals will seek to take advantage of India which will emerge much weakened by the conflict.
India has to fight alone and not be diffident any more. After making adequate military preparations India should invade Tibet in the northeast and occupy as far as Lhasha and then sue for peace and begin negotiations. There will be a war with missile no doubt but without nuclear weapons because after 10 days of this war all the big powers will intervene to stop it and more importantly the oil will run out.
So what are the options? Give up to China and cede the territory. You do this once and you will see them in few year near the TN border. None of the options look pretty for India given the 70 year deep slumberthat we were in and bhai-bhai bonhomie that we got carried away by the way even though it did not exist on the Chinese side. So time has come to face the problem and not admire the various contours of the trouble and write plenty of columns describing the problem. The need of the hour is to leverage the brilliant minds of India to come together and help the government in crafting a non-ambivalent (Jettison weird thoughts like we are non-aligned, we do not commit to anyone but we expect the world to help us approach) muscular policy in countering a rogue and bullying nation like China. We should not be building and reinforcing our apologies packaging and presenting them as solutions in variety of different ways.
India should be pragmatic and deal with the USA on a transactional basis. We should be ready to confront China on our own but just expect USA to help us with the required and relevant equipment. We are dealing with France, Israel and Russia as well and should get the best out of everyone as per our needs. At the same time, we must develop our own capacities and spend enough on defense. We must shed this attitude of looking behind our shoulders to check if some one is helping us! After all, if India cannot take on China in Asia, who will? Indian economy ought to do well for government to be able to spend on defense and that is is the real worry. Unfortunately, Modi is not doing enough for it.
US need not fight for India all it has to do is lease its weapons systems to India at short notice from its nearest bases. Thats more than sufficient to pulverise China to submission and make the Tibet and Xinjiang independent along with Hongkong and Macau. Dismantle CCP in PRC and make Taiwan as the original representative of the democratic China.
Dreaming is nice
So true. Well written.
Excellent insights from Madam Kartha.
India is a big country and should aim the best self-interest of India too. Resources are always limited always, spending too much on weapons restricts the investment of developing the country in general unless those weapons can generate GDP as well.
Tribhuvan Darbari- Though, unequivocally, India has developed great strategic relationships with several nations especially the US and Russia. However, because of their own interests, both of these nations may not prove to be very influential in curbing the China’s aggressive policies towards its neighbors with border disputes. Therefore, all the nations that have border disputes with China and are the victim of Chinese regular bully must make an alliance and force the United Nations and the US to slap some harsh sanctions on China. China is moving forward strategically and if not stopped at the right time, it may become unstoppable, eventually disrupting the economy of the whole world that may have catastrophic outcomes.
#TribhuvanDarbari