Replacing the dollar necessitates not only a rival currency but also an equally robust financial market, trusted institutions, and an ecosystem of banks, investors & payment infrastructure.
The other emerging market currencies experienced a more pronounced depreciation against the dollar than the rupee in 2024, resulting in a relative appreciation effect.
A big source of uncertainty will be trade after Trump assumes office. However, within India, rural demand is likely to sustain momentum & inflation is less likely to be a big problem.
Trump's threat to impose 100% tariff on BRICS nations won't worry Indian policymakers, given that it has consistently denied any interest in replacement of US dollar as global currency.
Investors are pricing in lower taxes and new trade tariffs under the Trump administration, measures seen as inflationary which could prompt Fed to curb easing of interest rates.
Central banks can intervene in forex market to influence exchange rate. Analysis by ThePrint shows RBI has been doing this for months, but last week saw rupee fall sharply nevertheless.
In Episode 1544 of CutTheClutter, Editor-in-Chief Shekhar Gupta looks at some top economists pointing to the pitfalls of ‘currency nationalism’ with data from 1991 to 2004.
Pakistan's SSG team was not adequately provisioned for the inclement weather. If it managed to consolidate its position, the story of Siachen would have been different.
The reopening of the Strait of Hormuz eases supply fears, but controlled shipping, slow output recovery, and high costs may delay oil flow normalisation for months.
This special edition of Cut The Clutter, straight from the Siliguri corridor, details the strategic importance of the narrow strip of land in West Bengal, and how it’s a vital link connecting the Northeast to the rest of India.
American objectives are unmet. They neither have muscle nor motivation to resume the war. As for Iran, the regime didn’t just survive, it’s now led by more radical individuals.
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