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1. It is obvious that chiefs of BSP and SP have a huge ego problem. I guess this ego will be the biggest factor which will harm each of them in coming months. 2. Though both BSP & SP have secured a majority in UP assembly election and although Smt Mayawati and Akhilesh Yadav have enjoyed power s chief minister of UP, their limitations undid them in next election ( in case of Smt Mayawati in 2012 and in 2017 in case of Akhilesh Yadav). 3. In the coming Lok Sabha (LS) election there will be a candidate each from BSP-SP, Congress and BJP. When there are multi-cornered contests like this in any election, one cannot predict who would be the beneficiary of division of votes. 4. Smt Mayawati and Akhilesh Yadav are assuming that their alliance will be the beneficiary of division of votes. Similarly BJP and Congress leaders are thinking that their respective party will benefit from division of votes. But I suppose it is simply unpredictable right now, though it is likely that alliance of BSP & SP may be the biggest beneficiary. However, success of BSP & SP in UP may not be good enough to fulfil prime ministerial ambitions of both Smt Mayawati and father of Akhilesh Yadav, Mulayam Singh. This is because so many chiefs of regional parties do have similar PM ambitions! 5. One thing is absolutely clear: it will be a very interesting scenario after declaration of results LS election.
Excellent analysis by DK Singh, but would like to add another point. SP is contesting against BJP in its strongholds while BSP is contesting in relatively swing constituencies. Therefore, SP is facing a much tougher challenge than BSP. Akhilesh should have been more demanding in the seat sharing talks rather than supplicating before Mayawati.
Akilesh Yadav has constantly proven to be failure. He alliance with Congress was disaster for SP, he gave them too many seats which Congress lost. it is same short sighted policies he is following. The problem is inherent difference of interests between Yadavs & Dalits. So there won’t be too much vote transfer with BJP ending up as second choice of both of these groups. Same thing happened with His Congress alliance. Congress vote did not transfer to SP candidates. Now it is question mark whether SP Muslims vote will transfer to BSP candidates or end up with Congress.
Mayawati is the past, Akhilesh is the future. Had they not come together, an outcome similar to the Assembly poll in 2017 would have come about. There is, of course, zero prospect of Ms Mayawati becoming PM. By giving her 38, keeping 37 for himself, Shri Akhilesh is showing maturity, not letting ego get in the way of enlightened self interest. Had it not been for Ms Mayawati’s intransigence and the Congress’ cupidity / childishness, AY would have got the Congress into the tent, with about ten seats, sealing the outcome. Netaji is completely over the hill, senile.
The writer appears to be a supporter of B.J.P. He is envious of the great coordination qualities of Akhilesh. The truth is that due to his flexibility, Akhilesh is the most capable person for the post of P.M.
They split the Muslim vote with Congress. They split the anti BJP votes between Congress and themselves. Priyanka Vadra may have been inducted to also attract BJP’s Brahmin votes but, this will not happen. The “Family” is NOT seen as ‘Brahmins’, whatever else they are may be, notwithstanding the Congress party’s desperate attempts to flourish Rahul’s Janeu dhari Brahmin credentials ( which may have actually lost them a vote bank).. She is making no impact at all on the ground, with the Bhim Sena leader rejecting any support to Congress. despite Priyanka’s visit. Whichever way this is seen, BJP should benefit.
D K Singh. Such a cynic.. What does Akhilesh gain? What stupid question? Suppose BSP and SP would have gone their separate ways?There lies the answer. Between Akhilesh and Mayavathi the latter nay be the gainer. But their main aim is to defeat BJP. In they both gain.AKHILESH IS A GAINER whatever charlatans like Singh may postulate.
BSP may be contesting on larger number of seats than SP – but it will get lower number of seats in the final tally.
By doing so, SP has reasonably assured that BJP is on a significantly weaker wicket.
Mayawati may have any aspirations – there are others also with similar aspirations. Akhilesh is smart enough to ensure that he has a handle for seeking leadership at the state elections. It is a different matter that Mayawati would dump him at the local level. Between BSP and SP, the sympathetic vote would be with Akhilesh. It may be a small amount – but at the swing level it will have a large impact.
1. It is obvious that chiefs of BSP and SP have a huge ego problem. I guess this ego will be the biggest factor which will harm each of them in coming months. 2. Though both BSP & SP have secured a majority in UP assembly election and although Smt Mayawati and Akhilesh Yadav have enjoyed power s chief minister of UP, their limitations undid them in next election ( in case of Smt Mayawati in 2012 and in 2017 in case of Akhilesh Yadav). 3. In the coming Lok Sabha (LS) election there will be a candidate each from BSP-SP, Congress and BJP. When there are multi-cornered contests like this in any election, one cannot predict who would be the beneficiary of division of votes. 4. Smt Mayawati and Akhilesh Yadav are assuming that their alliance will be the beneficiary of division of votes. Similarly BJP and Congress leaders are thinking that their respective party will benefit from division of votes. But I suppose it is simply unpredictable right now, though it is likely that alliance of BSP & SP may be the biggest beneficiary. However, success of BSP & SP in UP may not be good enough to fulfil prime ministerial ambitions of both Smt Mayawati and father of Akhilesh Yadav, Mulayam Singh. This is because so many chiefs of regional parties do have similar PM ambitions! 5. One thing is absolutely clear: it will be a very interesting scenario after declaration of results LS election.
Interesting take. Don’t agree with many things but a first if a kind article which analyze the various permutations.
Excellent analysis by DK Singh, but would like to add another point. SP is contesting against BJP in its strongholds while BSP is contesting in relatively swing constituencies. Therefore, SP is facing a much tougher challenge than BSP. Akhilesh should have been more demanding in the seat sharing talks rather than supplicating before Mayawati.
Akilesh Yadav has constantly proven to be failure. He alliance with Congress was disaster for SP, he gave them too many seats which Congress lost. it is same short sighted policies he is following. The problem is inherent difference of interests between Yadavs & Dalits. So there won’t be too much vote transfer with BJP ending up as second choice of both of these groups. Same thing happened with His Congress alliance. Congress vote did not transfer to SP candidates. Now it is question mark whether SP Muslims vote will transfer to BSP candidates or end up with Congress.
Biased analysis by D. K . Singh.
Mayawati is the past, Akhilesh is the future. Had they not come together, an outcome similar to the Assembly poll in 2017 would have come about. There is, of course, zero prospect of Ms Mayawati becoming PM. By giving her 38, keeping 37 for himself, Shri Akhilesh is showing maturity, not letting ego get in the way of enlightened self interest. Had it not been for Ms Mayawati’s intransigence and the Congress’ cupidity / childishness, AY would have got the Congress into the tent, with about ten seats, sealing the outcome. Netaji is completely over the hill, senile.
The writer appears to be a supporter of B.J.P. He is envious of the great coordination qualities of Akhilesh. The truth is that due to his flexibility, Akhilesh is the most capable person for the post of P.M.
They split the Muslim vote with Congress. They split the anti BJP votes between Congress and themselves. Priyanka Vadra may have been inducted to also attract BJP’s Brahmin votes but, this will not happen. The “Family” is NOT seen as ‘Brahmins’, whatever else they are may be, notwithstanding the Congress party’s desperate attempts to flourish Rahul’s Janeu dhari Brahmin credentials ( which may have actually lost them a vote bank).. She is making no impact at all on the ground, with the Bhim Sena leader rejecting any support to Congress. despite Priyanka’s visit. Whichever way this is seen, BJP should benefit.
D K Singh. Such a cynic.. What does Akhilesh gain? What stupid question? Suppose BSP and SP would have gone their separate ways?There lies the answer. Between Akhilesh and Mayavathi the latter nay be the gainer. But their main aim is to defeat BJP. In they both gain.AKHILESH IS A GAINER whatever charlatans like Singh may postulate.
I think it is a smart move.
BSP may be contesting on larger number of seats than SP – but it will get lower number of seats in the final tally.
By doing so, SP has reasonably assured that BJP is on a significantly weaker wicket.
Mayawati may have any aspirations – there are others also with similar aspirations. Akhilesh is smart enough to ensure that he has a handle for seeking leadership at the state elections. It is a different matter that Mayawati would dump him at the local level. Between BSP and SP, the sympathetic vote would be with Akhilesh. It may be a small amount – but at the swing level it will have a large impact.