Loan growth is likely to stay sluggish this yr due to weak demand & cautious approach on unsecured lending. Going forward, gap between credit growth & deposit growth is likely to shrink.
Sales revenue of manufacturing firms saw weak growth in September quarter. Rural demand indicators performed better than urban. Capex must rapidly pick up in 2nd half of the fiscal.
To avoid high credit-deposit ratios, banks need to maintain healthy deposit base — a difficult task considering the competition they face from MFs & physical assets like gold, real estate.
Unhindered growth in lending has been associated with financial crisis, but monitoring a simple metric like credit-to-GDP gap could help identify early indications of an impending crisis.
During first nine months of this fiscal, personal loans and services sector drove up credit growth, shows Bank of Baroda report. However, manufacturing sector is lagging behind.
Prime Database showed banks have raised over 3.51 trillion rupees through certificate of deposits in April-October, 22% higher than the 2.87 rupees raised in 2021-2022.
The silence may have to do with the state’s history of political violence. During the 2021 post-poll violence, BJP leaders 'ran away leaving their voters at the mercy of the mob'.
Share of trade with FTA partners rose from 4.6% in 2006 to 28.8% in 2024. India is currently negotiating or advancing agreements with US, Israel, GCC, Canada & Mexico.
American objectives are unmet. They neither have muscle nor motivation to resume the war. As for Iran, the regime didn’t just survive, it’s now led by more radical individuals.
COMMENTS