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Sunday, October 12, 2025
HomeMacroSutra

MacroSutra

Budget 2023 priorities should include thrust on public capex, rural job creation

Growth next year is expected to slow down due to global headwinds & fading of favourable base effect. Budget must put economy on sustained growth path, consider spending priorities.

Persisting inflation worries, bright growth prospects give RBI room for more future rate hikes

Projection for inflation has been retained at 6.7% for this year and while peak inflation may be behind us, it's still above RBI's comfort level. So, keeping an eye on it is desirable.

India’s GDP growth slowed to 6.3% in Q2 — why this isn’t as worrying as it sounds

While GDP growth was lower than Q1's 13.5%, economy saw an uptick on quarter-on-quarter basis driven by services sector. But contraction in manufacturing is cause for some concern.

India’s public sector banks are laughing all the way to profits. But new stress can interrupt

PSBs saw year-on-year rise of nearly 50% in net profit in July-Sept quarter thanks to broad-based rise in loans. But MSME stress, pace of credit & deposit growth will determine future.

Quit stalling & pay up — what’s climate finance and why rich countries must step up urgently

High-emitters like US should take on greatest responsibility to tackle emissions and help — without being stalled by dialogue — finance nations most vulnerable to climate change.

Why FPIs are fleeing Indian debt and how bond markets have become volatile

Overseas ownership of Indian govt & sovereign bonds has fallen to record lows. FPIs have utilised less than 25% of their investment limit in govt bonds & just 17% in corporate bonds.

How RBI’s inflation targeting regime has had a stabilising influence on price rise in India

Adopted by India in October 2016, the inflation targeting framework gives flexibility to the RBI to also focus on growth without undermining its inflation control objective.

Prudence over populism — why Modi govt must resist rolling out big-ticket schemes in Budget 2023

In the next budget, last of Modi govt's 2nd term, announcing a glide path to a deficit target of 4.5% of GDP by 2025-26 would lend credibility to its fiscal consolidation initiatives.

It’s Happy Diwali for economy despite inflation, recession fears. But seasonal joy must sustain

Moving holidays, like Diwali, deeply impact economic data. However, this should not be mistaken as a leading indicator of the long-term performance of segments.

RBI’s digital rupee concept has many pros, but also some risk to India’s financial stability

CBDCs have the potential to lead to greater financial inclusion, but a concept note issued by the Reserve Bank of India also rightly places emphasis on consumer protection.

On Camera

No Mamata Banerjee, women’s safety isn’t a curfew issue

For Indian women, the smallest unit of control becomes the family; the largest, the State. Both speak the same language.

Niti Aayog recommends fully decriminalising 12 offences under new I-T Act to ‘foster more trust’

Recommendations appear in Niti Aayog’s Tax Policy Working Paper Series–II. It says there is a need to shift away from fear-based enforcement to trust-based governance.

India, UK sign £350 mn deal for Martlet. What are these Lightweight Multirole Missiles

In service with the British military since 2019, it is also known as the Martlet missile. Ukrainians have also deployed these missiles against Russian troops.

CJI, IPS, IAS & Homebound: A wake-up call 75 years in the making

Education, reservations, govt jobs are meant to bring equality and dignity. That we are a long way from that is evident in the shoe thrown at the CJI and the suicide of Haryana IPS officer. The film Homebound has a lesson too.