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Topic: Opinion polls


Exit polls: How they are conducted, their relevance & accuracy

Experts say the trickiest part of exit polls is to convert vote share into seats and this requires statistical training.
People wait with their identity cards to cast their votes for the Assembly elections, in Jabalpur, Madhya Pradesh

Hung verdicts to slim NDA majority — what opinion polls have said about Lok Sabha elections

The surveys were all conducted between January and April this year and their tone changed from hung verdicts to a wafer-thin majority for the NDA.
Members of the media | Dhiraj Singh/Bloomberg

Why media ground reports, opinion & exit polls don’t agree with each other on elections

News reports are vital to understand political strategy & local issues, but these factors do not affect the seats tally in a big way.
A man stands outside the Bombay Stock Exchange building in Mumbai | Dhiraj Singh/Bloomberg

India stocks advance after opinion polls predict win for Modi-led NDA

Stocks surged after two opinion polls indicate victory for Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s ruling coalition. When Modi govt first formed in 2014, Sensex rose 30%, the most since 2009.
File photo of PM Narendra Modi | PIB

Before Balakot, the BJP’s electoral prospects didn’t look too bad either

Aftermath of Pulwama and Balakot can further strengthen BJP's position unless the opposition manages to make the contest about economic issues.
File photo of PM Narendra Modi | PTI

Pollsters hate to be wrong, but they will be about BJP in 2019

Election forecast for 2019 will be a replica of 2004 when Atal Bihari Vajpayee lost despite his popularity ratings being way above everybody else.

On Camera

With the anti-poor lockdown, BJP is back to its upper caste, middle class, urban roots

Demonetisation’s political gain was to rebrand the BJP as a pro-poor party. The poorly implemented coronavirus lockdown is undoing that image.

Jails give Covid-19 parole: Can overstretched govt track prisoners’ movement and behaviour?

Prisons across India have begun to release inmates on parole after the Supreme Court directed to decongest jails to prevent the spread of coronavirus.


Newly-appointed CDS General Bipin Rawat

Ready to operate beyond mandate to fight the pandemic: CDS Bipin Rawat

In interview to ThePrint, Rawat also says Quick Reaction Medical Teams (QRMTs) have been readied to mobilise at short notice to meet the requirements of civil administration.

Modi’s India isn’t Mao’s China. Silly forecasts assume we’ll let corona kill millions of us

There are many scary scenarios about how badly we Indians may be affected or how many killed by Covid-19. But they presume we will do nothing to influence our fates.