March has been a good month for equity & currency, backed by FPI inflows & weak dollar. Going forward, tariffs, Chinese markets, oil prices & corporate earnings may have a role to play.
Inclusion of Indian bonds on J.P. Morgan’s emerging markets index may lead to more foreign investment & lower borrowing cost. Dollar inflows could imply rupee appreciation & higher liquidity.
While bank credit looks healthy, there are signs of stress. Pvt investments show green shoots but merchandise exports are contracting. Foreign investors continue to find India attractive.
With bad loans shrinking & capital buffers stronger, urban co-op banks’ new umbrella body NUCFDC is now prioritising rollout of digital transformation.
If deal goes through, Greece will be 2nd foreign country to procure vehicle. Morocco was first; TATA Group has set up manufacturing unit there with minimum 30 percent indigenous content.
Many of you might think I got something so wrong in National Interest pieces written this year. I might disagree! But some deserve a Mea Culpa. I’d deal with the most recent this week.
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