March has been a good month for equity & currency, backed by FPI inflows & weak dollar. Going forward, tariffs, Chinese markets, oil prices & corporate earnings may have a role to play.
Inclusion of Indian bonds on J.P. Morgan’s emerging markets index may lead to more foreign investment & lower borrowing cost. Dollar inflows could imply rupee appreciation & higher liquidity.
While bank credit looks healthy, there are signs of stress. Pvt investments show green shoots but merchandise exports are contracting. Foreign investors continue to find India attractive.
Overseas ownership of Indian govt & sovereign bonds has fallen to record lows. FPIs have utilised less than 25% of their investment limit in govt bonds & just 17% in corporate bonds.
A group of ministers is likely to meet on 4-5 March to decide whether the govt should go ahead with the IPO, as foreign portfolio investors could be key to its success.
Central Board of Direct Taxes Chairman P C Mody said the govt will soon issue a clarification on the increase in tax rate on foreign portfolio investors.
Rosneft, the Russian state-owned oil behemoth, has large interests in India. Reliance has a contract to purchase 500,000 barrels of crude per day from the firm.
Fresh details of operation conducted by IAF, Army have come out in gazette notification giving citations of those who were awarded Vir Chakra for their bravery.
Education, reservations, govt jobs are meant to bring equality and dignity. That we are a long way from that is evident in the shoe thrown at the CJI and the suicide of Haryana IPS officer. The film Homebound has a lesson too.
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