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Exit poll results predict a second term for PM Modi, some give BJP-led NDA more than 300 seats

Here are ThePrint's updates on the Lok Sabha election exit poll results

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New Delhi: Polling in the last phase of the Lok Sabha elections ended Sunday after nearly six weeks of hectic voting and perhaps the most vitriolic campaigning ever seen in India.

Most exit polls forecast another term for Prime Minister Narendra Modi, with some of them projecting that the BJP-led NDA will get more than 300 seats to comfortably cross the majority mark of 272 in the lower house of Parliament.

The poll predictions were, however, divided when it came to Uttar Pradesh — a crucial state considering the bulk of 80 seats it carries. Some like ABP-Nielsen predicted that the BJP’s tally may fall to 22 from 71 while a few others like New 18-IPSOS and News 24-Chanakya tipped the tally to over 60 seats.

The Election Commission will count the votes on 23 May.

ThePrint tracked Today’s Chanakya, ABP-Nielsen, Republic-CVoter, Republic Jan Ki Baat, News18–IPSOS, India Today-Axis, and Times Now-CNX to see what the predictions are.

ThePrint brings you the latest updates on what exit polls predict:

09:00pm: And that’s a wrap. To see what these numbers mean, and how 23 May could play out, follow our news stories on ThePrint.

08:50pm: Final exit poll numbers

Republic- C Voter: BJP+ 287, Congress +128, Others 127

Republic – Jan Ki Baat: BJP+ 305, Congress + 124, Others 113

Times Now-VMRBJP+ 306, Congress+132, Others 104

India Today: NDA 339-365, UPA 77-108, Others 69-95.

India News: NDA 287, UPA 128, Others 127

Aaj Tak: NDA 325-365, UPA 72-106, Others 68-94

ABP NewsBJP+ 267, Congress+ 127, Others 148

News18-IPSOS: BJP+ 336, Congress+ 82, Others 124

News 24-Chanakya: BJP+ 350 Congress+ 95 Others 97

08:42pm: 

 

08:30pm: In Maharashtra, Times Now-VMR exit poll gives NDA 38, UPA 10 , Others 0.

08:20pm: News-18 (Hindi)-IPSOS exit poll figures for West Bengal; BJP 3-5, Congress 0-1, Trinamool 36-38, Left 0, Others 0.

08:11pm:

 

08:07pm: India TV shows a BJP sweep in Uttar Pradesh. BJP+ 50, Magathbandhan 28, Congress 2.

ABP is giving the reverse with Magathbandhan set to win 56 seats in Uttar Pradesh.

08:05pm: ABP exit poll final tally gives BJP+ 267, Congress+ 127, Others 148.

08:00pm: News18-IPSOS total tally predicts NDA 336 (BJP 276) , UPA 82 (Congress 46) .

07:57pm: Tiranga’s ‘Poll of Polls’ shows big upset in West Bengal with BJP winning more seats than TMC with 18-26.

According to India Today, Bengal also reflects this, TMC 19-22, BJP 19-23.

07:55pm: In Uttar Pradesh, CVoter predicts NDA 38, UPA 2, Magathbandhan 40.

Jan Ki Baat gives NDA 46-57, UPA 4-2, Magathbandhan 32-21.

07:50pm: Republic TV’s numbers for Andhra Pradesh is a surprise. CVoter predicts 11 seats for YSRCP, TDP 14.

07:45pm: CNN News 18-IPSOS: Anchor Bhupendra Chaubey says, “NDA set to sweep this election on its own.”

07:40pm: Aaj Tak predicts AAP may not be able to get any seats in Delhi, BJP might get 6-7 seats, Congress 0-1 seat.

07:35pm: India Today exit poll (305/542 seats): NDA 164-185, UPA 73-95, Others 35-49.

07:30pm: India TV predicts (out 234 seats) NDA to win 102 seats , Congress 72, Other 60.

07:26pm: NDTV’s ‘Poll of Polls’ gives BJP+ 305, Congress+ 125, Others 112.

07:24pm: ThePrint’s reporters, who travelled across the country and followed political parties, give us the latest on how parties are faring this Lok Sabha election.

07:17pm: India Today’s Rajdeep Sardesai says, “Congress is not going to cross 100.”

07:15pm: ABP News says Congress will manage to save Amethi and Rae Bareily.

07:13pm: In Andhra Pradesh, News24-Chanakya’s exit polls so far give ruling TDP 17 seats, YSR 8 seats.

07:11pm: BJP spokesperson Sudhanshu Trivedi on Zee News says, “These numbers are just predictions. In reality, NDA will win much more seats.”

07:07pm: India News gives NDA 298 seat tally, Congress 118, Others 126.

07:00pm: Predictions within the first half hour of exit polls are:

India News: Rajasthan: BJP 24, Congress 1, Others 0
Times Now: In Hindi heartland: NDA 148, UPA 31, Others 29
India News: Gujarat: BJP 25, Congress 1, Others 0
News24-Chankaya: BJP to sweep all 26 seats in Gujarat, 10 seats in Haryana
Zee News: Maharashtra: NDA 306, UPA 132, Others 104

06:51pm: India TV-CNX exit poll gives BJP all 7 seats in Delhi.

06:50pm: India Today-Axis Bank figures for Tamil Nadu show BJP scoring between 0-4 seats, UPA with 34-38, Others with 22-27.

06:45pm: News 18’s Zakka Jacob says Congress is still stuck in single digits.

06:43pm: Republic-Jan Ki Baat exit poll predicts NDA to win 305 seats, UPA to win 124, Magathbandhan to get 33, and Others 87.

06:42pm: News 18 India-IPSOS exit poll figures for Phase 1 (91 seats) predicts NDA to get 38-42, UPA 04-07, Others 44-46

6:40 pm: ABP news exit poll predictions for West UP (27 seat): BJP+ 6, Congress+ 0 SP+BSP 21.

According to Times Now-VVR exit poll, NDA to get 306 seats, UPA 132 and others 104.

06:30pm: Exit poll figures start pouring in.

Republic-C Voter gives BJP 236 seats, Jan Ki Baat gives party 264.

06:15pm: As voting in 7th phase of Lok Sabha election ends and exit polls are due soon, ThePrint takes a look at the election season so far. Watch here:

06:00pm: 60.21% voter turnout recorded till 6 pm in the final phase of polling, reports news agency ANI.

05:40pm: EC says polling has concluded in 542 parliamentary constituencies across the country.

05:15pm:  In the 2009 Lok Sabha elections, exit polls rightly predicted the return of the Congress-led UPA. However, they failed to predict the margin of victory.

05:00pm: In 2004 Lok Sabha elections, most exit polls had predicted a victory for the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) government but eventually Congress-led United Progressive Alliance (UPA) came to power.

04:45pm: Psephologist Sanjay Kumar expects all exit polls to predict the BJP as the single largest party in the 2019 elections. He says the only thing that remains to be seen is whether the exit polls of 2019 will be similar to the one in 2014 or 2004 — on both occasions, almost all surveys had predicted the BJP as the party with maximum seats.

04:30pm: Polling is underway in 59 seats across eight states including Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s constituency Varanasi where more than 46.53 % voting was recorded till 4 pm.

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4 COMMENTS

  1. In this context , it may be apt to refer to this Vedic astrology writer’s predictive theme in hitherto well –known article – “ The Year 2019 Astrologically for India” – published last year on 7 October , 2018 at theindiapost.com. The related text in the article reads like this :-
    “ NOW HERE , THE YEAR 2019 IS IN THE FOCUS ABOUT INDIA , WHEN MULTI SECTIONS OF SOCIETY ARE LIKELY TO PRESENT A SCATTERED POLITICAL PICTURE. A KIND OF POLITICAL HYSTERIA CATERING TO VARYING VESTED INTERESTS LOOKS TO BE COMING UP. BUT THRUST OR MORE APPEAL SEEMS TO BE FOR ASPIRATIONS HAVING UNIVERSAL FAIRNESS , UPRIGHT SPIRIT , AND NATIONAL FERVOR. SUCH A PARTY OR PERSON LOOKS TO BE COMING TO THE CENTRE – STAGE AND GATHER POPULAR SUPPORT FOR SOVEREIGN POWER IN COMING YEAR 2019.”

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