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AIIMS director says mortality rate remains low as India’s Covid tally crosses 5 lakh mark

Dr Randeep Guleria also added that although the number of cases has been rising, it is not as high as compared to those in other countries like in the US.

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New Delhi: On Saturday when the total coronavirus cases crossed 5 lakh, director of the All India Institute of Medical Sciences here, Dr Randeep Guleria has said that mortality rate in the country remains low amid the rising cases of COVID-19.

Speaking to ANI on a day when the country reported its highest single-day spike of 18552 cases, Guleria said that although the number of cases has been rising, the rise is not as high as compared to those in other countries like in the US, which has reported a surge of 80,000 cases in the last two days.

Guleria said, “The number of cases is increasing. We can look at two things, one that this rise is not that high as compared to other countries. In the US, there has been almost 40,000 cases per day for two days. The other thing is the number of cases per million population continues to remain below. The most important thing is that we still continue to have low mortality. Considering the size of our population, the number of cases will be large in absolute terms. But if we are able to keep mortality down then it will be a big success for the country.”

Earlier today Union Health Minister Dr Harsh Vardhan said that the COVID-19 recovery rate has surged over 58 per cent in the country with around 3 lakh cured and discharged patients. “Our mortality/fatality rate is near 3 per cent which is very less. Our doubling rate has come down to nearly 19 days, which was 3 days before the lockdown,” he said.

Meanwhile, the AIIMS director when asked about the rise in cases in Delhi said, “In Delhi, the cases are rising from hotspots and what we call containment zones. There has to be lot of responsibility on part of the people, local community leaders in these areas to make sure that people stay at home, isolate themselves, wear masks and social distancing.”

“Unfortunately in these areas, people are not following social distancing. This is promoting the spread of the infection,” he added.

The AIIMS director said that peak in infection rates in India will occur at different times in different parts of the country.

“If we see data from other cities like Pune and Ahmedabad, there the cases are declining meaning their peak has happened and the number of cases are coming down.

“On the other hand, in Delhi and Mumbai, the cases are still rising and will take few more weeks to get to the peak and the cases will fall then,” he said.

“Over the next two to three months we shall see that all over the country the cases start coming down,” he added.

India on Saturday crossed 5 lakh-mark with record highest spike of 18,552 cases of coronavirus reported in the country in the past 24 hours. The country has added more than 3.18 lakh COVID-19 cases since June 1.


Also read: 99-year-old woman in Karnataka beats coronavirus against all odds


 

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2 COMMENTS

  1. Isn’t he right? Compared to the size of India, its humongous population and poor public discipline, the number of deaths is rather surprisingly low. Its recovery statistics are much better than number of positive cases. But, we don’t see any analysis of these statistics. Of course, I am relying on numbers appearing in my Arogya Setu app, with the fond home that government is not lying!

  2. The world learnt about a new danger to health coming when W.H.O. brought to global notice on 14 January , 2020 that novel Coronavirus has taken birth in Wuhan , China and that it has potential to spread to other parts of the world. The novel Coronavirus was officially designated as Covid-19. Looking back , the virus began noticeable spread after about mid-March , 2020 , taking the world through a major worrisome storm in about a month or so after. As the month of June , 2020 comes to a close , Covid-19 has already brought the world to a stage as if it were gasping for a breath. It is not to say that the world has not taken recourse to every precaution within its reach. But in the absence of an effective cure by way of vaccine or drug , the precautions within human reach seem to have had no capacity to overawe spread-fury of Covid-19. Such precautions were and continue to be – social distancing , lockdown , quarantine , covering mouth and nose portion with a mask , washing hands a number of times with soap in a required manner and the like.
    There are two types of Covid-19 cases – those showing symptoms and others not showing symptoms. In both the cases , testing for Covid-19 can be more meaningful for more than one reason. The results of testing , if negative , can reassure those going in for sex with their partner or otherwise , that they are safe from the angle of Covid-19. This Vedic astrology writer chanced upon reading a news report – “Research says 30 percent of Americans broke quarantine for booty call” – published on 24 June 2020 at Canoe.com. The news report refers to the survey of two thousand Americans , engineered by OnePoll on behalf of MysteryVibe , which found that three in ten have broken quarantine to have sex. Other important points revealed in the said news report of 24 June 2020 read like this :-
    “ The survey found that 58 percent of those surveyed were in quarantine at home with their partners. It said a whopping 76 percent of respondents said they have used lockdown as an opportunity to spice up their sex lives with their partners and 78 percent said they were having more sex during the lockdown. Interestingly , 65 percent of respondents said they are having sex just because they are bored , 60 percent said they are experiencing sexual burnout.” A closer reading of the news report suggests that it cannot be said to be representing overall picture of America as a much larger survey could have contributed to inspiring confidence on a firmer footing. Still , it has certain useful pointers – recourse to sex in the absence of clear knowledge through Covid-19 test could be fraught with danger.
    Another news report in June 2020 said that 40 percent of Covid-19 infection was revealed in age group 20 to 39 among young adults in America.
    In this context , it may be relevant to share with readers the predictive alerts of this Vedic astrology writer for more care and appropriate strategy in article -“ Potential of stars for Italy in soon coming year 2020” – published at http://www.astralis.it/Kumar02.htm on 15 December , 2019. The text of the predictive alert in the article covering a period of three and a half months from mid-March to June 2020, reads like this :-
    “ 4. Some health hazards or health concerns involving digestive system , venereal or sex related disorders in the body could cause worry , calling for more care and appropriate strategy.
    7. Last about two months of November and December 2020 , look to be raking up hidden issues……………………….This scenario can also mean worrisome ailments involving respiratory system in the body or venereal disease or increase in ailments relating to nerves”.
    The predictive alert bringing forth need for more care and appropriate strategy involving digestive system , nerves , sex in relation to health during mid-March to June 2020 was also brought out in another predictive article – “ Planetary indications for Ireland in 2020” – brought to public domain widely on 12 January , 2020. The related text from the article is reproduced here :-
    “But a period of three and a half months from mid-March to June in 2020 has potential or likelihood to introduce unexpected worrisome concerns relating to ………………… War or war-like conditions across the globe may impact Ireland as well. Serious health concerns can make presence during this period , covering stomach , nerves , sex and the like.”
    In conclusion , it can be observed that the findings in the survey report in relation to America brought out on 24 June 2020 , enable drawing the inference that during unemployment , lockdown or quarantine , sex may have probably contributed something to increase Covid-19 infection during mid-March to June 2020. But that finding goes to make this writer’s predictive alert on 15 December 2019 or on 12 January 2020 meaningful —- that there was likelihood of health hazards or serious health worries on account of digestive system , nerves and sex during the mid-March to June 2020. That being so , full-fledged Covid-19 testing could have proved helpful in containing the infection.

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