New Delhi: India is likely to receive above-normal rainfall during the upcoming monsoon season, according to the India Meteorological Department (IMD).
The IMD has predicted that the country will receive 106 percent of the long-term average rainfall (LPA) this season, with a model error of approximately 5 percent, a PIB press release stated. This prediction is based on both dynamical and statistical models.
According to the IMD, the La Nina condition of the Indian Ocean is likely to continue with a reduction in the snow cover in the northern hemisphere. This is likely to create favorable conditions for rainfall during the monsoon season. The IMD further said that the climate model forecasts indicate a neutral condition of the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) by the start of the monsoon season, with La Niña conditions expected in the second half of the season.
According to the IMD, these conditions are favorable for rainfall during the monsoon season. The Northern Hemisphere Snow Cover Extent during January to March 2024 was below normal, which indicates above-normal rainfall during the monsoon season. According to the IMD, winter and spring snow cover extent over the Northern Hemisphere and Eurasia has an inverse relationship with the subsequent monsoon season rainfall.
This year, the IMD expects to issue the updated forecasts for the monsoon season rainfall in the last week of May 2024.
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