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Jaffrelot & Rizvi ask govt to engage with Sri Lanka, Chibber says FM needs to revive growth

Today’s political, economic & strategic punditry from Christophe Jafferelot, Arindam Bhattacharya, Ajay Chibber, Katherine Pistor & many more.

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The Opinion Makers

Keeping the southern neighbour engaged

Christophe Jaffrelot| CERI-Sciences Po/CNRS, Paris and professor of Indian Politics and Sociology at King’s India Institute

Haider Abbas Rizvi| Information commissioner, Uttar Pradesh

The Indian Express

Jaffrelot and Rizvi argue that during Sri Lankan PM Mahinda Rajapaksa visit to India, Prime Minister Modi should aim to counterbalance Beijing’s influence in the Indian Ocean.

“New Delhi has tried to engage the new Sri Lankan government after Rajapaksa assumed office. India’s foreign minister S Jaishankar, landed in Sri Lanka on November 20, 2019 to invite Gotabaya for his first visit to India — rather than to China…. India’s effort were also designed to thwart China extending its influence in Sri Lanka at a time when the Narendra Modi administration is trying to counter Beijing’s clout in the Indian Ocean,” they write.

Numbers don’t lie

Partha Ghosh | Former ICSSR National Fellow, and professor of South Asian Studies, JNU

The Indian Express

Ghosh claims that after conducting a cost benefit analysis of the Citizenship Amendment Act (CAA) and the National Register of Citizens (NRC), it will be evident that if there is a Nobel Prize for jokes, the citizenship law is India’s entry.

“Just to label approximately 20 lakh Muslims in Assam and Bengal as ‘non-Indians’, 137 crore Indians will have to show their papers. To victimise one person, 700 others will be terrorised. Varun Grover makes enormous sense when he sings, hum kaagaz nahi dikhayenge (we will not show you our papers). If you still think that the CAA is not a joke, I pity your sense of humour,” he writes.

The political context of Donald Trump’s India visit

Dhruva Jaishankar | Director of the US Initiative at the Observer Research Foundation

Hindustan Times

Jaishankar argues that US President Donald Trump’s upcoming visit to India will see him leverage the trip for political ends ahead of the Presidential elections. However, India needs to focus on the wider agenda. “While Trump will highlight the aspects of engagement with India that serve his political interests, the real significance for India will be at a more mundane level,” he argues.

The new challenge for Census 2021

Devesh Kapur | Asia Programs Director at the Paul H Nitze School of Advanced International Studies (SAIS) at Johns Hopkins University, Washington, DC.

Neelanjan Sircar | Assistant professor, Ashoka University

Hindustan Times

Kapur and Sircar warn that the entire CAA-NRC-NPR issue ignites a more pertinent issue — the veracity of official data.

“If respondents ascertain that truthfully revealing certain kinds of information in the NPR is more likely to result in questioning their citizenship, they may choose to obfuscate or misreport. Because the NPR and Census are to be run concurrently — and both are under the auspices of the Registrar General of the ministry of home affairs (also the key architect and driver of the CAA) — this loss of credible information is likely to extend to the Census,” they note.

Listening to the call of the informal

Arun Maira | Former Planning Commission member

The Hindu

Maira argues that the informal sector’s small entrepreneurs in rural areas and the urban fringes, should not be ignored.

“The thrust of the Indian government’s policies should not be to reduce the size of the informal sector. Rather, it must be to improve working conditions for the citizens who earn incomes in the sector,” he states.

It’s time shareholders answered for corporate misdeeds

Katharina Pistor | Professor, Columbia University

Mint

Pistor explains the concept of “limited liability” or “no liability” among shareholders of a company who are “shielded from the harms that corporations inflict” on consumers, workers or the environment, like how shareholders were “let off the hook” after the 1984 Bhopal Gas Tragedy. Pistor explains that this is why “markets simply cannot price risk adequately”, thereby distorting the market system as a whole.

Why tariff hikes won’t protect domestic manufacturers

Arindam Bhattacharya| Managing Director & Senior Partner, Boston Consulting Group

The Financial Express

Given that India is the most “aggressive user of anti-trade notifications”, Bhattacharya express concern about the Budget’s announcement to increase tariffs on household products and appliances. Though the move is meant to “restrict ‘unnecessary’ imports” from China and promote local industries, he argues that a “tariff protection without a clear endgame” could make our manufacturing sector less globally competitive. He suggests including a “CoDB-driven industrial policy… [with] a time-bound plan” in trade policy.

Making IBC work for individuals, too

H.S. Shylendra| Writer is with IRMA, and is a member of IBBI’s Working Group on Individual Insolvency

The Hindu Business Line

Shylendra criticises the “cumbersome” criteria and procedures for Fresh Start Process (FSP), which allows individual insolvency under IBC. To make FSP more feasible, he suggests two approaches. First, “revise the extant criteria to make them inclusive” and second, “fundamentally change FSP yet …[retain] its original intent of expeditious discharge of the poor.”

Interventions are a bad habit

Hardayal Singh| Former chief commissioner, income-tax, GoI

The Economic Times

Singh criticises the governemnt’s decision to take over Unitech, a Delhi-based real estate “giant”. The delay in possession has led to “unsold inventory of housing units in India’s top eight cities”, he explains. Singh says GoI is setting a “bad precedent” as it “may find it difficult to intervene in other failing companies” and such interventions usually lead to “inefficient outcomes”. It should ideally be a “referee”, not a “player” in such cases.

Back to you Madam FM

Ajay Chhibber| Director general, independent evaluation office, GoI

The Economic Times

Chhibber criticises monetary policy committee’s announcement of “another pause in repo rate cuts” and keeping its stance “accommodative”. He points out that MPC could have “cut rates further, as its own inflation projections show a quick reversal to CPI inflation” which leads him to criticise the inflation targeting regime as a whole. At the moment, “RBI has sent a signal back to the finance ministry that as instructed, it is indeed focusing on inflation” and now it is up to the former to revive growth.

Tamal Bandhopadhyay | Author & senior advisor, Jana Small Finance Bank Ltd.

Business Standard

Like Chhibber, Bandhopadhyay also comments on MPC’s “accommodative” stance and its decision to “kick-start growth” — an area that the Union Budget “feared to tread”. He points out four pillars upon which the latest policy rests — RBI is “closing its window for the fixed-rate daily and 14-day repo”, banks are freed from obligations regarding CRR and NDTL, banks are allowed “a one-time restructuring of loans given to MSMEs” and an “extension of the date of commencement” for real estate projects without “downgrading assets”.

Arvind Mayaram | Former finance secretary & chairman, CUTS Institute of Regulation and Competition (CIRC)
Business Standard
As e-commerce grows in size along with allegations of “anti-competitive practices”, the regulatory body CCI’s “light touch” approach is likely to change. Mayaram assesses the rapid growth of e-commerce alongside “smart-phone penetration” and widening internet usage, and concludes that “it will be interesting to watch how CCI increases its… oversight…in the coming years”.

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