IMD says 'atmosphere moving towards La Nina conditions, which is good,' adding that 'intensity of rain will get better and July is likely to end in a surplus'.
While the chances of an El Niño developing early in the year are small, current forecasts say there is a 55 per cent chance it could develop between June and August.
Even if the El Niño, which can cause a monsoon deficit in India, does set in as predicted, other weather phenomena could potentially mitigate its effects.
IMD data shows east, northeast India had 18% rainfall deficit between 1 June and 10 August. But central and southern regions saw excess of 24% and 28%, respectively.
Experts agree that these weather patterns are the result of a combination of internal variability, an unusually long La Nina period, and climate change.
Berkeley Earth’s annual global temperature report, collecting data from over 18,000 stations, finds 1.8 billion people experienced their highest local temperature average in 2021.
The recent resignations of its seniormost judges are among the most pointed institutional protests Pakistan has witnessed since the lawyers’ movement of the late 2000s.
Without a Congress revival, there can be no challenge to the BJP pan-nationally. Modi’s party is growing, and almost entirely at the cost of the Congress.
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