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Wednesday, June 26, 2024
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Ilanomics

What to expect from Budget 2021? Support people who lost income in pandemic, boost demand

Institutional changes that don’t require large expenses and show govt’s commitment to reform can be strong positive signals in Nirmala Sitharaman’s Budget.

Why Budget 2021 will be different — govt doesn’t need to hide real fiscal deficit this time

Economists are arguing for expansionary Budget, so govt won’t be criticised much for not being prudent. Target should be to boost growth by pushing demand.

Inflation is set to ease further, but it’s also time India analysed price data better

Year-on-year method misses trends in prices, so month-to-month seasonal adjustment should be used. According to this, May-December avg inflation was 4.05%.

The 5 factors that will determine the shape of the Indian economy in 2021

Economic recovery from pandemic has been faster than expected, but with Budget set to be presented next month, these factors need to be taken into account.

Why Indian economy seems set for revival in the new year after a tough 2020

India’s GDP is projected to contract in FY21. But as restrictions ease, supply side disruptions are addressed and demand picks up, the economy is expected to rebound.

Modi govt is planning to set up DFIs, but it needs to figure out sources for funds first

Subsidised credit from the government and the RBI has not proved to be a sustainable source in the past. Moreover, the bond market in India is still awaiting reforms.

Relaxing inflation target for growth isn’t necessarily good, Modi govt must assess idea well

The inflation target band is currently 4% plus-minus 2%, but a review is coming up in March 2021. Relaxing it for 5 years may not be a good idea.

How Modi govt can avoid another farmers’ protest-like crisis — consult better before reforming

When changes are introduced through consultation & engagement, people can get used to new ideas without friction. Bad ones can be dumped; good ones made better.

Why RBI’s status quo on interest rate is the best policy for India right now

GDP numbers for Q2 were better than expected, but growth could still be hit by resurgence of Covid. Persistent supply-side inflation is a problem too.

RBI & Modi govt mustn’t let corporates into banking sector without improving supervision

Recent bank failures show that concerns about RBI’s supervisory capacity are relevant. A common feature was RBI allowing problem of bad loans to linger.

On Camera

Deepika Padukone isn’t faking her pregnancy. Internet ‘critics’ need a refresher on biology

One of the comments on her recent picture, read: “She is not able to do the role of a pregnant woman properly”. It's a nasty cocktail of misogyny and an ignorance of basic human biology.

Noida International Airport, Delhi NCR’s 2nd, delayed. To begin operations by April 2025

According to a statement by the airport, commercial operations likely to begin next year 'in view of the current construction status'. It was supposed to commence operations by 2024 end.

India’s 15-yr quest for anti-tank missile: Israeli Spike, DRDO option, back to US for Javelin talks

Recent high-profile visit was of US National Security Adviser this month during which a number of key issues, including military cooperation, was discussed by both sides.

Modi’s new universe: the normal irritants of democracy & awkward chai with Rahul Gandhi

Changed reality for Modi govt in its 3rd innings is by no means rise of a new phenomenon. It's a return to old normal where even majorities had to routinely wrestle with storied million mutinies.