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Thursday, March 12, 2026
TopicGrowth forecast

Topic: growth forecast

What RBI’s 3 surprise moves in its June policy signal about its growth outlook

RBI retained its projection of 6.5% growth, but highlighted global uncertainty, particularly due to renewed tariffs from July & volatility in commodity prices as risks to growth outlook.

Indian economy needs post-Emergency ‘India story’ to come out of medium development status

India's growth post-1970 outpaced both low and middle-income countries, as well as the world economy. Yet, it has not been a “shining” record, because of poor socio-economic metrics and rising inequality.

India’s economic growth projections revised upwards, but consumer sentiment remains sluggish

IMF has raised India’s growth projections for current and next 2 financial years. Yet, results of major FMCG companies, and govt’s own data, shows public consumption remains subdued.

India remains fastest-growing big economy in FY24 but Israel-Hamas war could hurt govt’s fiscal math

Conflict in the Middle East could upset assumptions & forecasts and, if it escalates, disrupt the oil markets. For India, it could raise worries on inflation, put pressure on the rupee.

Economic Survey calls for close watch on India’s current account deficit, flags external risks

Strong domestic demand amidst high commodity prices will raise total import bill and contribute to unfavourable developments in the current account balance, warns report.

IMF cuts India’s growth forecast to 6.8% from 7.4% for 2022

The IMF in July had projected a gross domestic product growth of 7.4 per cent in the year starting April 2022. In January, it had predicted 8.2 per cent.

IMF lowers India’s GDP forecast to 9.5% for FY22 in view of ‘severe’ setback caused by 2nd wave

IMF slashes India's growth forecast by 3 percentage points in July World Economic Outlook report from April forecast of 12.5%, but raises 2022-23 forecast to 8.5%.

Has IMF’s Gita Gopinath made India a convenient scapegoat by blaming it for global slowdown?

The IMF has pegged India’s economic growth forecast to 4.8 per cent for 2019-2020, much less than its October 2019 projection of 6.1 per cent.

Is RBI right in not cutting interest rate even as it downgrades growth forecast to 5%?

The RBI’s Monetary Policy Committee Thursday stunned economists and market analysts by retaining the key interest rate at 5.15 per cent after pushing through five consecutive rate cuts since February.

On Camera

Modi govt organises Rozgar Melas, but vacant posts show its hiring capacity is limited

Before attempting to answer whether the Rozgar Melas are working, it would be useful to take a look at the performance of the Modi govt on this front since it was formed in May 2014.

India’s Russian crude imports approach pre-Trump sanction levels amid Hormuz disruptions & US ‘waiver’

India has already purchased nearly 16 million barrels of Russian crude so far in March 2026, translating to roughly 1.6 million barrels per day, indicating a sharp uptick.

India-Bangladesh relations on track—After military intel chief’s visit, envoy goes to Army War College

In a first during his tenure as High Commissioner to India, Riaz Hamidullah addressed JOCAP consisting of tri-forces officers, as New Delhi & Dhaka step up normalisation efforts.

Trump brings the Age of Humiliation for friends. Modi needs stoicism abroad, humility at home

Trump has ushered in the age of humiliation. His method is to push around America’s friends rudely and publicly. He knows none of them can afford to fight back.