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Monday, October 27, 2025
TopicGrowth forecast

Topic: growth forecast

What RBI’s 3 surprise moves in its June policy signal about its growth outlook

RBI retained its projection of 6.5% growth, but highlighted global uncertainty, particularly due to renewed tariffs from July & volatility in commodity prices as risks to growth outlook.

Indian economy needs post-Emergency ‘India story’ to come out of medium development status

India's growth post-1970 outpaced both low and middle-income countries, as well as the world economy. Yet, it has not been a “shining” record, because of poor socio-economic metrics and rising inequality.

India’s economic growth projections revised upwards, but consumer sentiment remains sluggish

IMF has raised India’s growth projections for current and next 2 financial years. Yet, results of major FMCG companies, and govt’s own data, shows public consumption remains subdued.

India remains fastest-growing big economy in FY24 but Israel-Hamas war could hurt govt’s fiscal math

Conflict in the Middle East could upset assumptions & forecasts and, if it escalates, disrupt the oil markets. For India, it could raise worries on inflation, put pressure on the rupee.

Economic Survey calls for close watch on India’s current account deficit, flags external risks

Strong domestic demand amidst high commodity prices will raise total import bill and contribute to unfavourable developments in the current account balance, warns report.

IMF cuts India’s growth forecast to 6.8% from 7.4% for 2022

The IMF in July had projected a gross domestic product growth of 7.4 per cent in the year starting April 2022. In January, it had predicted 8.2 per cent.

IMF lowers India’s GDP forecast to 9.5% for FY22 in view of ‘severe’ setback caused by 2nd wave

IMF slashes India's growth forecast by 3 percentage points in July World Economic Outlook report from April forecast of 12.5%, but raises 2022-23 forecast to 8.5%.

Has IMF’s Gita Gopinath made India a convenient scapegoat by blaming it for global slowdown?

The IMF has pegged India’s economic growth forecast to 4.8 per cent for 2019-2020, much less than its October 2019 projection of 6.1 per cent.

Is RBI right in not cutting interest rate even as it downgrades growth forecast to 5%?

The RBI’s Monetary Policy Committee Thursday stunned economists and market analysts by retaining the key interest rate at 5.15 per cent after pushing through five consecutive rate cuts since February.

On Camera

RJD confidence in EBCs dips. Sticks to Yadav core

RJD’s candidates from EBCs have declined from 13.13 per cent to 11.19 per cent. This could be because the party saw the lowest strike rate among EBC candidates in the 2020 Bihar Assembly polls.

Paper in MoSPI journal flags financial inclusion gap—highest among Hindus, lowest for Muslims

Research paper, however, finds lowest indebtedness level among Muslims at 12.3% & highest among Hindus at 14.9%. Overall national financial inclusion level at 87.2%, indebtedness at 14.7%.

From battle of wits and daring air strikes to artillery fury, new details emerge of Operation Sindoor

Fresh details of operation conducted by IAF, Army have come out in gazette notification giving citations of those who were awarded Vir Chakra for their bravery.

Deepfake on duty: when I asked AI to read Op Sindoor citations

On 21 Oct, a buzz went up that the govt had released full list of gallantry award recipients along with Op Sindoor citations. I put an AI caddy on the job. It took me into a never-ending rabbit hole.