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Saturday, January 3, 2026
TopicGrowth forecast

Topic: growth forecast

What RBI’s 3 surprise moves in its June policy signal about its growth outlook

RBI retained its projection of 6.5% growth, but highlighted global uncertainty, particularly due to renewed tariffs from July & volatility in commodity prices as risks to growth outlook.

Indian economy needs post-Emergency ‘India story’ to come out of medium development status

India's growth post-1970 outpaced both low and middle-income countries, as well as the world economy. Yet, it has not been a “shining” record, because of poor socio-economic metrics and rising inequality.

India’s economic growth projections revised upwards, but consumer sentiment remains sluggish

IMF has raised India’s growth projections for current and next 2 financial years. Yet, results of major FMCG companies, and govt’s own data, shows public consumption remains subdued.

India remains fastest-growing big economy in FY24 but Israel-Hamas war could hurt govt’s fiscal math

Conflict in the Middle East could upset assumptions & forecasts and, if it escalates, disrupt the oil markets. For India, it could raise worries on inflation, put pressure on the rupee.

On Camera

How Gen-Z is changing the violent extremist landscape online

The evolving extremist threat now hinges on young people online, demanding new strategies beyond traditional counter-terror models.

India’s urban co-op banks are turning the page—crisis to cautious revival, one metric at a time

With bad loans shrinking & capital buffers stronger, urban co-op banks’ new umbrella body NUCFDC is now prioritising rollout of digital transformation.

Greece looking at TATA’s WhAP infantry combat vehicle for army procurement

If deal goes through, Greece will be 2nd foreign country to procure vehicle. Morocco was first; TATA Group has set up manufacturing unit there with minimum 30 percent indigenous content.

A year-end Mea Culpa in National Interest—The Army-Islam combo doesn’t kill democracy

Many of you might think I got something so wrong in National Interest pieces written this year. I might disagree! But some deserve a Mea Culpa. I’d deal with the most recent this week.