The growth projections for the US seem to be at odds with rising probability of recession put out by various agencies. Tariffs may weigh on US & China the most.
The Mohan Yadav govt aims to propel MP’s industrial GDP to Rs 6 lakh cr by 2030. New measures pertain to sectors like manufacturing, logistics, renewable energy, IT, textiles, EVs, etc.
The Union Budget must cut revenue expenditure so growth-boosting tax cuts are possible, while monetary policy should focus on growth-inflation dynamics instead of defending the falling rupee.
Economic growth has become uneven between regions and countries, and within countries themselves—leading to significant inequalities and persistent pockets of poverty.
With Sanjay Malhotra at the helm, RBI could shift towards a more dovish monetary policy, but the conventional policy response of rate cuts will not be a given with rising pressure on rupee.
For India, IMF has maintained its growth estimate at 7% for 2024-25, followed by 6.5 per cent next year. Slowdown from 8.2% growth in 2023 is attributed to exhaustion of pent-up demand.
In his closing column, T.N. Ninan looks back at the forecast that the BRICS economies would overtake the US, Japan, Germany, UK, France, and Italy, and how far that prophecy has been fulfilled.
The S&P Services PMI Index for April also pointed out that the level of job creation had remained static despite the growth in business activity, and that input price pressures remain.
India’s fledgling defence industry has struggled to translate capacity into mass production or compete globally, resulting in continued reliance on imports.
Mini deal will likely see no cut in 10% baseline tariff on Indian exports announced by Trump on 2 April, it is learnt, but additional 26% tariffs are set to be reduced.
India-Russia JV is also racing to deliver 7,000 more AK-203 assault rifles by 15 Aug. These are currently being made with 50% indigenisation and this will surge to 100% by 31 December.
Public, loud, upfront, filled with impropriety and high praise sometimes laced with insults. This is what we call Trumplomacy. But the larger objective is the same: American supremacy.
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