A big source of uncertainty will be trade after Trump assumes office. However, within India, rural demand is likely to sustain momentum & inflation is less likely to be a big problem.
Trump's threat to impose 100% tariff on BRICS nations won't worry Indian policymakers, given that it has consistently denied any interest in replacement of US dollar as global currency.
Investors are pricing in lower taxes and new trade tariffs under the Trump administration, measures seen as inflationary which could prompt Fed to curb easing of interest rates.
Central banks can intervene in forex market to influence exchange rate. Analysis by ThePrint shows RBI has been doing this for months, but last week saw rupee fall sharply nevertheless.
In Episode 1544 of CutTheClutter, Editor-in-Chief Shekhar Gupta looks at some top economists pointing to the pitfalls of ‘currency nationalism’ with data from 1991 to 2004.
Rupee opened at 83.78 to US dollar compared to previous close of 83.75. Selloff in US & Asian equities following disappointing jobs report spurred worries of foreign outflows from India.
Gold’s ability to hold value in times of political and economic uncertainty makes it a favoured asset in central bank reserves. It is considered a long-term hedge against inflation.
Several countries are calling for trade to be carried out in currencies besides the US dollar. But a survey of central bank currency managers shows the shift will be a slow affair.
For India, the strategic ripples are significant. The immediate concern is Pakistan’s diplomatic gain as it embeds itself deeper into the defence framework of the Middle East.
SEBI probe concluded that purported loans and fund transfers were paid back in full and did not amount to deceptive market practices or unreported related party transactions.
This is the first major attack on central security forces since last November, when a CRPF jawan was killed and four were injured in an ambush in Jiribam on Manipur-Assam border.
To be truly functional and durable, even eternal, a state doesn’t just need a leader, a party or an ideology. It needs functional and robust institutions.
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