The other emerging market currencies experienced a more pronounced depreciation against the dollar than the rupee in 2024, resulting in a relative appreciation effect.
A big source of uncertainty will be trade after Trump assumes office. However, within India, rural demand is likely to sustain momentum & inflation is less likely to be a big problem.
Trump's threat to impose 100% tariff on BRICS nations won't worry Indian policymakers, given that it has consistently denied any interest in replacement of US dollar as global currency.
Investors are pricing in lower taxes and new trade tariffs under the Trump administration, measures seen as inflationary which could prompt Fed to curb easing of interest rates.
Central banks can intervene in forex market to influence exchange rate. Analysis by ThePrint shows RBI has been doing this for months, but last week saw rupee fall sharply nevertheless.
In Episode 1544 of CutTheClutter, Editor-in-Chief Shekhar Gupta looks at some top economists pointing to the pitfalls of ‘currency nationalism’ with data from 1991 to 2004.
Rupee opened at 83.78 to US dollar compared to previous close of 83.75. Selloff in US & Asian equities following disappointing jobs report spurred worries of foreign outflows from India.
Why should the US care? Because in the end, as its wrangle with Britain this week should have reminded them, America still needs bases, friendly ports, & overfly rights.
Multiple companies have invoked the principle of ‘force majeure’, which lets a party off the hook in case of unforeseen ‘acts of God’, to avoid penalties.
IRIS Lavan was in the region for the International Fleet Review held last month and ‘sought urgent docking in Kochi citing technical issues,’ it is learnt.
Trump has ushered in the age of humiliation. His method is to push around America’s friends rudely and publicly. He knows none of them can afford to fight back.
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