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Tuesday, July 22, 2025
TopicOpinion polls

Topic: Opinion polls

Punjab police file FIR over opinion polls ahead of Ludhiana bypoll, cite ECI violation by news channels

ANI -
According to the police, such publications are considered attempts to influence voter perception and manipulate the electoral environment.

Japan’s ruling LDP at risk of losing majority in election, polls show

Rocky Swift -
The LDP, which has held sole control since 2012, may not reach the 233 seats it needs for an outright majority in the 465-seat chamber.

Indian voters care about ideas. But they are not telling pollsters that

Rukmini S -
In ‘Whole Numbers and Half Truths’, Rukmini S writes why journalists can’t capture motivation of voters.

Exit polls: How they are conducted, their relevance & accuracy

Sanya Dhingra -
Experts say the trickiest part of exit polls is to convert vote share into seats and this requires statistical training.

Hung verdicts to slim NDA majority — what opinion polls have said about Lok Sabha elections

Moushumi Das Gupta -
The surveys were all conducted between January and April this year and their tone changed from hung verdicts to a wafer-thin majority for the NDA.

Why media ground reports, opinion & exit polls don’t agree with each other on elections

Yogendra Yadav -
News reports are vital to understand political strategy & local issues, but these factors do not affect the seats tally in a big way.

India stocks advance after opinion polls predict win for Modi-led NDA

Nupur Acharya -
Stocks surged after two opinion polls indicate victory for Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s ruling coalition. When Modi govt first formed in 2014, Sensex rose 30%, the most since 2009.

Before Balakot, the BJP’s electoral prospects didn’t look too bad either

Rahul Verma -
Aftermath of Pulwama and Balakot can further strengthen BJP's position unless the opposition manages to make the contest about economic issues.

Pollsters hate to be wrong, but they will be about BJP in 2019

Yogendra Yadav -
Election forecast for 2019 will be a replica of 2004 when Atal Bihari Vajpayee lost despite his popularity ratings being way above everybody else.

On Camera

YourTurn

Opinion

Bihar mimics 19th-century American South. Citizenship is now weaponised to exclude voters

+TFP Ashutosh Varshney -
Disenfranchisement by institutional fiat is profoundly undemocratic. The effect of the ECI's new documentary process in Bihar will tilt the scales in favour of the BJP.

Radhika Yadav’s murder proves the khap panchayat never left—it just moved back into the family

Bihar ADG linking farmers to rising crime uncalled for. Data just doesn’t support such claims

Economy

India-US set to ink mini trade deal soon, reach understanding on agricultural & dairy products

Keshav Padmanabhan -
Mini deal will likely see no cut in 10% baseline tariff on Indian exports announced by Trump on 2 April, it is learnt, but additional 26% tariffs are set to be reduced.

Defence

Not just AK-203, India & Russia to jointly manufacture AK-19 and PPK-20 for domestic use and export 

Snehesh Alex Philip -
India-Russia JV is also racing to deliver 7,000 more AK-203 assault rifles by 15 Aug. These are currently being made with 50% indigenisation and this will surge to 100% by 31 December.

National Interest

Strategic partner one day, tactical nightmare the next: India’s learning Trumplomacy the hard way

Shekhar Gupta -
Public, loud, upfront, filled with impropriety and high praise sometimes laced with insults. This is what we call Trumplomacy. But the larger objective is the same: American supremacy.

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