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Thursday, February 19, 2026
TopicOpinion polls

Topic: Opinion polls

Japan’s ruling LDP at risk of losing majority in election, polls show

The LDP, which has held sole control since 2012, may not reach the 233 seats it needs for an outright majority in the 465-seat chamber.

Indian voters care about ideas. But they are not telling pollsters that

In ‘Whole Numbers and Half Truths’, Rukmini S writes why journalists can’t capture motivation of voters.

Exit polls: How they are conducted, their relevance & accuracy

Experts say the trickiest part of exit polls is to convert vote share into seats and this requires statistical training.

Hung verdicts to slim NDA majority — what opinion polls have said about Lok Sabha elections

The surveys were all conducted between January and April this year and their tone changed from hung verdicts to a wafer-thin majority for the NDA.

Why media ground reports, opinion & exit polls don’t agree with each other on elections

News reports are vital to understand political strategy & local issues, but these factors do not affect the seats tally in a big way.

India stocks advance after opinion polls predict win for Modi-led NDA

Stocks surged after two opinion polls indicate victory for Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s ruling coalition. When Modi govt first formed in 2014, Sensex rose 30%, the most since 2009.

Before Balakot, the BJP’s electoral prospects didn’t look too bad either

Aftermath of Pulwama and Balakot can further strengthen BJP's position unless the opposition manages to make the contest about economic issues.

Pollsters hate to be wrong, but they will be about BJP in 2019

Election forecast for 2019 will be a replica of 2004 when Atal Bihari Vajpayee lost despite his popularity ratings being way above everybody else.

On Camera

Telangana spoke up for Muslim vendor who was attacked. South is different from the North

A poor Muslim man from Kurnool, selling khoya buns during the Medaram Jatara in Telangana, was harassed by some YouTubers and surrounded by a mob over allegations of 'food jihad'.

In the West, there’s anxiety. In India, optimism—Rishi Sunak says India poised to be leader in AI

On Wednesday, the former UK Prime Minister Rishi Sunak was speaking in New Delhi at a Carnegie & Observer Research Foundation event on AI.

US military commander, envoy Sergio Gor visit Indian Army Western Command, Bengaluru next

At the Western Army Command, the American delegation was briefed on the capabilities of the formation, past operations and the path ahead.

The new Great Game—Trump’s playing for time, China for leverage & India for wiggle room

This is the game every nation is now learning to play. Some are finding new allies or seeing value among nations where they’d seen marginal interest. The starkest example is India & Europe.