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Tuesday, April 7, 2026
TopicOpinion polls

Topic: Opinion polls

Japan’s ruling LDP at risk of losing majority in election, polls show

Rocky Swift -
The LDP, which has held sole control since 2012, may not reach the 233 seats it needs for an outright majority in the 465-seat chamber.

Indian voters care about ideas. But they are not telling pollsters that

Rukmini S -
In ‘Whole Numbers and Half Truths’, Rukmini S writes why journalists can’t capture motivation of voters.

Exit polls: How they are conducted, their relevance & accuracy

Sanya Dhingra -
Experts say the trickiest part of exit polls is to convert vote share into seats and this requires statistical training.

Hung verdicts to slim NDA majority — what opinion polls have said about Lok Sabha elections

Moushumi Das Gupta -
The surveys were all conducted between January and April this year and their tone changed from hung verdicts to a wafer-thin majority for the NDA.

Why media ground reports, opinion & exit polls don’t agree with each other on elections

Yogendra Yadav -
News reports are vital to understand political strategy & local issues, but these factors do not affect the seats tally in a big way.

India stocks advance after opinion polls predict win for Modi-led NDA

Nupur Acharya -
Stocks surged after two opinion polls indicate victory for Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s ruling coalition. When Modi govt first formed in 2014, Sensex rose 30%, the most since 2009.

Before Balakot, the BJP’s electoral prospects didn’t look too bad either

Rahul Verma -
Aftermath of Pulwama and Balakot can further strengthen BJP's position unless the opposition manages to make the contest about economic issues.

Pollsters hate to be wrong, but they will be about BJP in 2019

Yogendra Yadav -
Election forecast for 2019 will be a replica of 2004 when Atal Bihari Vajpayee lost despite his popularity ratings being way above everybody else.

On Camera

YourTurn

Opinion

Economy

Syringes, MRI to ventilators, West Asia war squeezing India’s medical supply chain—costs up 10 to 50%

Sneha Richhariya -
Industry says manufacturers have 2-4 weeks of buffer stocks, but prolonged disruption could push up shortage risks, especially of consumables like IV and syringes.

Defence

UAE walks away from financing Rafale F5 due to restricted access to technology, reports French media

Keshav Padmanabhan -
French newspaper La Tribune earlier last week indicated that UAE withdrew from deal to fund EUR 3.5 billion. India is looking to order 114 new Rafales, which could include the F5.

National Interest

China insulated itself against energy shocks. India is ‘all talk, no walk’

Shekhar Gupta -
China patiently invested capital, skill and technology in coal gasification. Unlike it, we won’t move from words to action. As crude prices decline, we lose interest.

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