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Friday, March 13, 2026
TopicOpinion polls

Topic: Opinion polls

Japan’s ruling LDP at risk of losing majority in election, polls show

Rocky Swift -
The LDP, which has held sole control since 2012, may not reach the 233 seats it needs for an outright majority in the 465-seat chamber.

Indian voters care about ideas. But they are not telling pollsters that

Rukmini S -
In ‘Whole Numbers and Half Truths’, Rukmini S writes why journalists can’t capture motivation of voters.

Exit polls: How they are conducted, their relevance & accuracy

Sanya Dhingra -
Experts say the trickiest part of exit polls is to convert vote share into seats and this requires statistical training.

Hung verdicts to slim NDA majority — what opinion polls have said about Lok Sabha elections

Moushumi Das Gupta -
The surveys were all conducted between January and April this year and their tone changed from hung verdicts to a wafer-thin majority for the NDA.

Why media ground reports, opinion & exit polls don’t agree with each other on elections

Yogendra Yadav -
News reports are vital to understand political strategy & local issues, but these factors do not affect the seats tally in a big way.

India stocks advance after opinion polls predict win for Modi-led NDA

Nupur Acharya -
Stocks surged after two opinion polls indicate victory for Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s ruling coalition. When Modi govt first formed in 2014, Sensex rose 30%, the most since 2009.

Before Balakot, the BJP’s electoral prospects didn’t look too bad either

Rahul Verma -
Aftermath of Pulwama and Balakot can further strengthen BJP's position unless the opposition manages to make the contest about economic issues.

Pollsters hate to be wrong, but they will be about BJP in 2019

Yogendra Yadav -
Election forecast for 2019 will be a replica of 2004 when Atal Bihari Vajpayee lost despite his popularity ratings being way above everybody else.

On Camera

YourTurn

Opinion

Period pain is real. Blanket menstrual leave policy isn’t a fix

Stela Dey -
The Supreme Court is right to point out the 'mindset of employers', who, because of this policy, may deduce that 'women are inferior.'

9.2% jump in arms transfer shows this is era of war—SIPRI reveals the temper we live in

Trump either ends Iran conflict quickly, or sky-high energy costs will force him to do so

Economy

A war in the Gulf, a crisis in Gujarat’s Morbi: India’s ceramics capital counts the cost

+TFP Esha Mishra -
Morbi makes 80-90% of India’s ceramic exports. The West Asia conflict has cut its propane supply, shutting 200 factories and threatening 400 more—along with 9 lakh livelihoods.

Defence

Supreme Leader Mojtaba, the man Iran must keep alive & the secret force ‘tasked with it’—all about NOPO

Vaibhav Pant -
The Nirouyeh Vijeh Pasdaran Velayat, or NOPO, was the only force Ali Khamenei trusted.It was founded in 1991 and is more feared than the Revolutionary Guards.

National Interest

Trump brings the Age of Humiliation for friends. Modi needs stoicism abroad, humility at home

Shekhar Gupta -
Trump has ushered in the age of humiliation. His method is to push around America’s friends rudely and publicly. He knows none of them can afford to fight back.

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