West Asia war threatens to push already fragile industry deeper into crisis. Latest disruption is playing out differently for bigger and small-scale players in Surat’s diamond industry.
Modus operandi employed by diamond jewellery businesses to launder money involves import of cheap, synthetic diamonds that are usually overvalued by over 100 times, it is learnt.
At least eight diamond workers in Surat have died by suicide in the past three months with about 15,000 laid off while the industry's losses have increased from 1% to 15-20% annually in the last five years.
India exported lab diamonds worth $216.07 million in financial year 2017-18. The latest numbers – between April 2022 & February 2023 – stand at $1568.55 million.
Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman, while announcing the allocation for lab-grown diamonds in the 2023 Budget, had called it an 'emerging sector with high employment potential'.
Losing access to Russian diamonds over long term would devastate the industry, jeopardising thousands of jobs in India and hitting major trading centers across the world.
Even though exports to India make up just about 10% of Russian direct sales, Indian diamantaires fear they could end up on the frontline of the war in Ukraine.
While the Russia-Ukraine war saw the BJP projecting PM Modi as a ‘vishwaguru’ who could end international conflicts, the party has made a nuanced shift in its electoral strategy vis-à-vis the West Asia war.
It’s easy to understand why the government can’t speak the hard truth. When this war ends, as all wars do, India’s interests will lie with both the winner and the loser.
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