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HomePoliticsHow Prashant Kishor's newly minted Jan Suraaj party will impact key players...

How Prashant Kishor’s newly minted Jan Suraaj party will impact key players in Bihar politics

Kishor has reached out to sections that are votebanks of both main alliances. Question remains whether it will manage to dent rivals or be just another newbie in Bihar's arena.

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Patna: Former political strategist Prashant Kishor announced the birth of his political party—Jan Suraaj—at a well-attended rally at the Veterinary College ground in Patna Wednesday.

He sprung his first surprise, announcing the name of former Indian Foreign Service officer Manoj Bharti as the working president of the new party. Bharti is an IITian, a Dalit and hails from Bihar’s Madhubani district. “He is here not because he is a Dalit. He has been selected because he is even better than Prashant Kishor and happens to be a Dalit,” Kishor said.

Laying out the agenda, Kishor said that the party plans on working towards removing the dry liquor policy and using the losses incurred by Bihar due to the ban—an estimated Rs 20,000 crore per year—for better education and creating job avenues for the youth.

He also said that the party would help farmers by extending MGNREGA (Mahatma Gandhi National Rural Employment Guarantee Act) to cultivators, and facilitate loans to women for self employment at 4 percent interest. He also promised pensions of Rs 2,000 each for all senior citizens.

With the launch of the Jan Suraaj on Gandhi Jayanti, the key question is which side will be more severely impacted by Prashant Kishor’s official entry in Bihar’s political landscape—the Bharatiya Janata Party-Janata Dal (United) alliance, or the Rashtriya Janata Dal and Congress-led Mahagathbandhan.

With the assembly polls due next year, Kishor’s Jan Suraaj may hurt the chances of both alliances, experts say. 

“One has to understand the social structure of Bihar and how caste groups have been linked to one alliance or the other. Kishor started his ‘padyatra’ (foot march) two years ago as a corporate manager. But then, he began making political moves,” N.K. Choudhary, former Economics professor at Patna University, told ThePrint.

Choudhary added, “In the process, he (Kishor) tried to woo women voters—a key support base for Nitish Kumar; Muslims—core voter base for RJD; and upper castes—one of the core voter bases of BJP. He has raised issues impacting the weaker sections, particularly the Dalits. I have no doubt that he will leave his footprint in the 2025 assembly polls.”

D.M. Diwakar, former director of A.N. Sinha Institute of Social Studies, explained that Kishor’s party “will certainly make a dent, but it will be candidate-specific”.

“If he fields an upper caste candidate, he will hurt the NDA (National Democratic Alliance). If the candidate is from the Muslim community or other weaker sections, it will hurt the Grand Alliance (Mahagathbandhan) more.”

“In 2020, a Plurals Party came into existence and contested all the seats, and not a single candidate could retain their deposit. But Prashant Kishor is different. He has been on padyatra for the last two years and built the basic infrastructure of the party. He does not appear to be short of funds and he knows how to contest elections,” Diwakar said.

According to Diwakar, Kishor may have a deeper impact in Bihar if he sticks beyond the next year’s elections. “In 2025, he will be introducing himself to Bihar politics.”


Also Read: Why BJP’s state leadership is sweating over Nitish Kumar’s land survey project in NDA-ruled Bihar


‘Jan Suraaj’s impact will be marginal’

During his padyatra, Kishor worked to create a solid structure for the political party, recruiting workers and setting up offices right down to the block level. The candidates will not be picked by him, unlike most other parties where the selection is done by the top leadership. Instead, the workers will play an instrumental role in the process. 

Additionally, instead of the typical election manifesto released by political parties, Jan Suraaj plans to release a development map for each of the 7,000-odd panchayats in Bihar before the elections.

Meanwhile, the big political parties are ignoring Kishor. For them, Jan Suraaj is too insignificant. “There have been others. like the Plurals Party and the Aam Aadmi Party, that tried to make a difference and failed,” said BJP spokesperson Prem Ranjam Patel. 

Former BJP MLA Sanjay Singh Tiger remarked that Jan Suraaj’s impact in Bihar will be the same as the NOTA votes.

RJD’s Tejashwi Yadav had previously dubbed Kishor as “BJP’s B-team”.

On the launch of Jan Suraaj party, senior RJD leader Abdul Bari Siddiqui said, “I do not see Muslims and Yadavs leaving my party for Kishor. It can be another platform for potential candidates that fail to secure a ticket from either the Grand Alliance or NDA.”

JD(U) spokesperson Rajiv Ranjan said that the battle of 2025 will be between two main alliances. “The effect of Kishor’s Jan Suraaj will be marginal.”

What Kishor brings to the table

Kishor hails from Bihar’s Buxar district and is from the Brahmin community. He had played a key role in BJP’s campaign for the 2014 Lok Sabha elections.

Before the 2015 assembly elections in the state, he joined JD(U) chief Nitish Kumar and advised him on matters of seat-sharing and the election campaign of the erstwhile RJD-JD(U) alliance. RJD supremo Lalu Yadav used to call him “Nitish ka dimag” (Nitish’s brain).

After that, Kishor acted as a political strategist for several key figures across the country—Arvind Kejriwal, Y.S. Jagan Mohan Reddy, M.K. Stalin and Mamata Banerjee. He has also previously worked with the Congress and the Samajwadi Party.

In 2018, he returned to Bihar, when Nitish appointed him national vice president of JD(U).

He was, however, expelled from the party in 2019, when he opposed the Citizenship (Amendment) Act and National Register of Citizens (NRC)—contrary to JD(U)’s stance on the matter.

In 2022, he came back to the state and announced his intention to establish his own political party.

The caste factor

Elections in Bihar are heavily influenced by the caste factor. RJD primarily has a Muslim-Yadav voter base. BJP’s core base comprises upper castes, Other Backward Classes (OBCs) and Economically Backward Classes (EBCs), and JD(U) supporters largely include the Kurmis and Kushwahas, and a section of EBCs.

Leaders like Chirag Paswan, Jitan Ram Manjhi and Upendra Kushwaha have their pockets of support within their own communities.

Kishor and his party will have to work their way around these combinations. He does not wield the support of a caste group yet. As of now, he is the only popular face of Jan Suraaj.

Sources in his party say that they will need three out of every 10 votes to make an impact in the polls. Kishore’s party is contesting all 243 assembly seats without any alliance. Even well-funded cadre-based parties like BJP have never done so.

“Caste factor is so dominant in Bihar politics and it has been so for a long time. But the point is that people have become tired of the politics of both Lalu and Nitish. PK (Kishor), with his padyatra and his stance on issues like employment, education and industrialisation, has become a brand in Bihar. I find the younger generation, cutting across caste and creed, attracted to him,” former Bihar MLC Prem Kumar Mani told ThePrint.

Adding, “There is space for a third force in Bihar. But only time will tell how much space he (Kishor) can cover in Bihar politics. PK’s political outfit may get 25-30 assembly seats in 2025, if he plays his cards right.”

(Edited by Mannat Chugh)


Also read: Lok Sabha polls showed people cannot tolerate arrogance: Prashant Kishor


 

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