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Oil slips as no clear end in sight for higher Fed interest rates

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By Georgina McCartney

HOUSTON (Reuters) -Oil prices retreated slightly on Wednesday after the Federal Reserve maintained its position on holding back on U.S. interest rate cuts in the near-future, while growing U.S. crude stockpiles added further pressure.

Brent crude futures fell 19 cents to $83.46 a barrel by 1:45 p.m. EST (1845 GMT). U.S. West Texas Intermediate futures (WTI) fell by 30 cents to hit $78.57. Both benchmarks had fallen $1 in earlier trading.

U.S. crude inventories rose by 4.2 million barrels last week, the Energy Information Administration (EIA) said, surpassing analysts’ expectations of a 2.74 million-barrel build.

Stockpiles have risen for five consecutive weeks due to unplanned refinery outages following a winter storm in January, along with planned plant turnarounds.

U.S. refinery utilization rates edged up 0.9 percentage point last week to 81.5% of total capacity, however, they were below the 10-year seasonal average. Refineries have operated below 83% utilization rates for the past month, their longest streak in nearly three years.

“Refiners are still side-lined to a great degree, and not making a real effort to rapidly come out of the shutdowns experienced in the aftermath of the cold snap,” John Kilduff, partner at New York-based Again Capital said.

An ongoing outage at BP’s 435,000-barrel-per-day Whiting refinery in Indiana, the largest plant in the Midwest, has also reduced fuel stock levels, Kilduff said.

Gasoline stocks, in turn, have drawn down for a fourth straight week to a two-month low at 244.2 million barrels and about 2% below the five-year average for this time of year, the EIA said.

“If this trend continues for the next six to eight weeks, we could see gasoline inventories tighten up as we go into the driving season,” said Andrew Lipow, president of Lipow Oil Associates in Houston.

Reports on Tuesday that the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies led by Russia (OPEC+) will consider extending voluntary oil output cuts into the second quarter likely provided a floor to falling prices. 

However, signs that interest rates in the world’s largest economy would remain elevated offset any gains to be made on the OPEC+ news.

Federal Reserve Bank of New York President John Williams said that while inflation pressures have ebbed to a notable degree, he is not yet ready to say the central bank has done all it needs to do to get inflation back to the Fed’s 2% target.​

Williams’ comment was in line with Fed Governor Michelle Bowman’s signals on Tuesday, that she was in no rush to cut U.S. interest rates, given continuing inflation risks. Higher-for-longer rates could dampen economic growth and suppress demand for oil.

Players in the oil market will be looking for clearer direction from Thursday’s January U.S. personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation and a key factor in rate decisions.

“In case tomorrow’s U.S. PCE reading comes in above expectations, a temporary top might have been found for oil”, Tamas Varga of oil broker PVM said in a note.

(Reporting by Georgina McCartney in Houston, Paul Carsten in London, Mohi Narayan in New Delhi and Andrew Hayley in BeijingEditing by Marguerita Choy and Jonathan Oatis)

Disclaimer: This report is auto generated from the Reuters news service. ThePrint holds no responsibilty for its content.

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