The sobering reality is that nuclear danger has not gone away. Regional deterrence relationships are being tested by border tensions and military modernisation of adversaries.
Deterrence and punishment depend on psychologically impacting those we are trying to influence. The problem is that we cannot know with certainty how much damage needs to be caused.
The Chinese term for deterrence differs from the English term in International Relations literature. China combines deterrence and compellence strategies.
Industry says manufacturers have 2-4 weeks of buffer stocks, but prolonged disruption could push up shortage risks, especially of consumables like IV and syringes.
French newspaper La Tribune earlier last week indicated that UAE withdrew from deal to fund EUR 3.5 billion. India is looking to order 114 new Rafales, which could include the F5.
China patiently invested capital, skill and technology in coal gasification. Unlike it, we won’t move from words to action. As crude prices decline, we lose interest.
I pray Alisha gives her analysis specifically with regard to the edgy state that exists between India and Pakistan.
These are two ever-hostile neighbouring/adjoining nations which share a long border. The available nuclear-attack reaction times were always short. I understand that the time needed for a hypersonic missile to fly between even the farthest regions of the two countries could be as short as 40 minutes.
The window of 15-20 minutes never afforded much time for perplexed confabulation. As per my limited knowledge, a bunch of geriatrics who comprise a committe will need to be woken up and persuaded to attend a meeting at the PM’s residence for a decision to be made regarding India’s nuclear (second strike) response, when it is needed.
Frankly, agonizing over the ever-shortening notice periods available for the rest of us to act before our vaporization occurs seems moot.
Nevertheless….
How has Pakistan’s reliance upon a nuclear stockpile which (primarily) comprises tactical nuclear warheads influenced the nuclear war threshold existing between the two countries? Did Pakistan miscalculate (from its brinksmanship perspective) and end up raising the nuclear threshold, thereby permitting India to indulge further in conventional military aggression than is otherwise possible?
What are the author’s observations from Operation Sindoor?
Timely article by Alisha. Refreshing.
I pray Alisha gives her analysis specifically with regard to the edgy state that exists between India and Pakistan.
These are two ever-hostile neighbouring/adjoining nations which share a long border. The available nuclear-attack reaction times were always short. I understand that the time needed for a hypersonic missile to fly between even the farthest regions of the two countries could be as short as 40 minutes.
The window of 15-20 minutes never afforded much time for perplexed confabulation. As per my limited knowledge, a bunch of geriatrics who comprise a committe will need to be woken up and persuaded to attend a meeting at the PM’s residence for a decision to be made regarding India’s nuclear (second strike) response, when it is needed.
Frankly, agonizing over the ever-shortening notice periods available for the rest of us to act before our vaporization occurs seems moot.
Nevertheless….
How has Pakistan’s reliance upon a nuclear stockpile which (primarily) comprises tactical nuclear warheads influenced the nuclear war threshold existing between the two countries? Did Pakistan miscalculate (from its brinksmanship perspective) and end up raising the nuclear threshold, thereby permitting India to indulge further in conventional military aggression than is otherwise possible?
What are the author’s observations from Operation Sindoor?
Look forward to the author’s insights. Thanks.