An Ivy League-educated economist, George Shultz moved seamlessly from academia to government to business, and served several roles under the Richard Nixon administration.
Stigma could, in time, turn domestic opinion in China, sway public attitudes in Russia, India & elsewhere, or even bring the U.S. back to the arms-control negotiating table.
Modi govt does not appear to recognise that international politics is spiralling towards a ‘soft war’ where all issues are linked to security and political interests.
Each shows how much the world has changed since the ‘original’ Cold War between the US and USSR, and how distinct in their worldviews and approaches India and China are.
There is no doubt that once the world has conquered the coronavirus pandemic, there will be a tectonic shift in the global balance of power. India cannot be a lone crusader.
It is argued that India-Israel ties are moving from buyer–seller dynamic to one focused on joint development & manufacturing partnership, a shift 'more durable' than traditional arms sales.
Don’t blame misfortune. This is colossal incompetence and insensitivity. So bad, heads would have rolled even in the old PSU-era Indian Airlines and Air India.
India does not need foreign enemies to keep her from achieving her ‘tryst with destiny’…she has a plethora of home-grown ones, all opposition parties, who see see it as their duty to oppose, block, obstruct and stymie all govt reform policies and initiatives.
Until about less than two years, journalists and other thinkers writing about India’s defence strategy were criticising Indian Military’s two-front mindset, with the fond hope that China will now and then bare its fangs and do nothing more. Recent face off shows that China is a bigger threat to India considering the economic burden it has imposed on India. Only silver lining in the dark cloud is that the high altitude border poses challenges not only to India but also to China as the recent retreat of China proves. But, the Chinese are good at biding their time. The threat is not gone fully.
Gone are the days when the US would fight others’ battles in their territory a la Vietnam, Korea, Afghanistan, Iraq. Since India is not a treaty partner, even the weapons systems would have to be bought at a high cost. India must get accustomed to resist China on its own, with its valiant armed forces to support it.
India needs USA to balance China in Indo-Pacific. But India also needs Russian defense equipment to tackle China in Himalayas ( and Pakistan as well). So India as well as USA need to understand and accept this contradiction. India and USA will have may issues for disagreement and it will be a headache for India dealing with Biden-Harris administration on human rights, Kashmir and CAATSA. But Chinese threat though real, is overemphasized. A bullying China will meet its match with different countries coming together in some form or the other. India will play a galvanizing role in it. But a lot depends on how much India spends on defense, develops its own domestic defense industry and grows it economy without allowing China to have huge trade surplus. Modi and his team has a tough job cut out for next few years!
For a moment I thought I was reading Global Times article, then I again went back and recheck that it was the Print and written by some editor with an Indian name. Anyway coming to the article, it was full of war mongering, where China doesn’t stand a change against US Army and equipments which India is getting, apart from Israel, Japan, France and other European countries. When will China stand against the combined technical power of these countries and even India,s own manufactured one. Coming to moot point of economy, as you tightly said that today,’s economy is interwoven with world bigger economies. So one side you will find China, Russia, Pakistan &Turkey, the other side you will find US, Canada, Australia, UK, France, Germany, Japan, S Korea, India, Saudi.Arabua, UAE, Israel. Now China is basically a manufacturer labour for these countries, what if post Vivid all these countries stop giving contract to China, it’s economy will bust in few years. China has grown at the expense of negligence of US and European countries,, who for the cheap labour went to China and China by reverse engineering and some strange tactics got a favourable Balance of Payment with these countries. China can boast of having US realities bind and good foreign reserved. What if US suddenly change their currency or says that they don’t recognize China reserves, it can be self destructive, but death warrant for China. What if Europe and Quad countries with all other friendly countries apply trade imbargo with China. There is a long list and many ways to counter China, as China has grown much bigger in size than she can handle herself. China’s language against Australia and Canada and Britain seems like threatening economically. If all these countries come together China is gone, sorry Xi is gone along with CCP.
India if utilises US properly can become a greater threat to China. Strength of China cannot be concluded with just their financial position. It takes into account other areas like Defence and global support. Though their economy is growing on one hand, there are visible reduction in the Trade and support from countries like Australia and India. This will make things tougher for China to become a super power.
China and US are working hard to attain / retain the super power crown. Hope, a third country finally takes the position and great it will be when it happens to be India.
So long as world continues to the ill-gotten wealth in US DOLLERS, the Chinese will remain vulnerable. Chinese have a crude way of dominating even friends. The past year has done huge damage to China. The glass of the trust is broken. The clear indication coming from the reduced exports.
New cold war is indeed different. USSR had a block with it’s satellite states who stuck around with USSR from second world war till 1990. China has ring of states who tolerate her despite dislike. The far away trading partners have lost confidence, so with no committed market beyond her own borders and limited export capacity in the armament market sustenance may come under pressure particularly with huge commitment in all the worldwide projects of roads and ports.
If the money saved in cuts and commissions is deployed in capacity building in defense to become an exporter of arms we could be looking at different future for us.
So long as China is not able to print unlimited money forex reserves of 4 Trillion may not take her very far.
Chinese writer . It seems an article flashed as a part of psychological propaganda by PLA . It completely ignores or down plays — the scale and type of RESISTANCE offered by the Indian armed forces this time , which even PLA can not forget so easily and conveniently as the Honourable Professor from JNU wants readers to believe . One thing more on statement that China is an emerging economic power house and now onward it gives them a tactical or strategic advantage over America or India in high seas or on landlocked borders , is too simplistic observation . Both countries , individually or jointly or collectively with other countries which Chinese think or make ” UNFRIEND ” are CAPABLE of offering matching RESISTANCE . Lesson from 2020 s engagement are 1 Any misadventure by any of the conflicting parties can boom rage
2 It has became practically impossible to change the borders with military might , or obliterate the existence of even a small country by big country . 3 Cost of future conflicts will become prohibitive for all parties to the conflict.
China has a great strength in that Communist Party of China has great influence and discipline which is a strong bond. The leader relies on this for his authority, but if the leader makes a great mistake then he has to go but this leads to great infighting as there is no obvious candidate to replace him.
This will lead to unravelling of the whole party. This strength is also its main weakness as well.
Let us suppose that there is a military conflict with India, which will happen in the near future, mark my words.
What if India is not defeated but instead scores a victory over China?
Tibet will be free. But China will lose everything.
In a way China has done India a favour which has changed our thinking that there can be no trust between China and India. Period.
When the chips are down India can not and should not rely on anyone except itself.
This is a important lesson Indian policy makers needed as they had blinded themselves to believe in fairytales.
Let’s hope for all our sakes Indian ruling class learns this lesson quick.
Nehru’s fondness for socialism was way different based on his personal experience of UK both in UK and in India. Current crop of govt. servants are frogs in the well with no foreign policy experience with Russia or China or USA. Cold war will keep India in trouble as before.
India does not need foreign enemies to keep her from achieving her ‘tryst with destiny’…she has a plethora of home-grown ones, all opposition parties, who see see it as their duty to oppose, block, obstruct and stymie all govt reform policies and initiatives.
Until about less than two years, journalists and other thinkers writing about India’s defence strategy were criticising Indian Military’s two-front mindset, with the fond hope that China will now and then bare its fangs and do nothing more. Recent face off shows that China is a bigger threat to India considering the economic burden it has imposed on India. Only silver lining in the dark cloud is that the high altitude border poses challenges not only to India but also to China as the recent retreat of China proves. But, the Chinese are good at biding their time. The threat is not gone fully.
Gone are the days when the US would fight others’ battles in their territory a la Vietnam, Korea, Afghanistan, Iraq. Since India is not a treaty partner, even the weapons systems would have to be bought at a high cost. India must get accustomed to resist China on its own, with its valiant armed forces to support it.
India needs USA to balance China in Indo-Pacific. But India also needs Russian defense equipment to tackle China in Himalayas ( and Pakistan as well). So India as well as USA need to understand and accept this contradiction. India and USA will have may issues for disagreement and it will be a headache for India dealing with Biden-Harris administration on human rights, Kashmir and CAATSA. But Chinese threat though real, is overemphasized. A bullying China will meet its match with different countries coming together in some form or the other. India will play a galvanizing role in it. But a lot depends on how much India spends on defense, develops its own domestic defense industry and grows it economy without allowing China to have huge trade surplus. Modi and his team has a tough job cut out for next few years!
For a moment I thought I was reading Global Times article, then I again went back and recheck that it was the Print and written by some editor with an Indian name. Anyway coming to the article, it was full of war mongering, where China doesn’t stand a change against US Army and equipments which India is getting, apart from Israel, Japan, France and other European countries. When will China stand against the combined technical power of these countries and even India,s own manufactured one. Coming to moot point of economy, as you tightly said that today,’s economy is interwoven with world bigger economies. So one side you will find China, Russia, Pakistan &Turkey, the other side you will find US, Canada, Australia, UK, France, Germany, Japan, S Korea, India, Saudi.Arabua, UAE, Israel. Now China is basically a manufacturer labour for these countries, what if post Vivid all these countries stop giving contract to China, it’s economy will bust in few years. China has grown at the expense of negligence of US and European countries,, who for the cheap labour went to China and China by reverse engineering and some strange tactics got a favourable Balance of Payment with these countries. China can boast of having US realities bind and good foreign reserved. What if US suddenly change their currency or says that they don’t recognize China reserves, it can be self destructive, but death warrant for China. What if Europe and Quad countries with all other friendly countries apply trade imbargo with China. There is a long list and many ways to counter China, as China has grown much bigger in size than she can handle herself. China’s language against Australia and Canada and Britain seems like threatening economically. If all these countries come together China is gone, sorry Xi is gone along with CCP.
India if utilises US properly can become a greater threat to China. Strength of China cannot be concluded with just their financial position. It takes into account other areas like Defence and global support. Though their economy is growing on one hand, there are visible reduction in the Trade and support from countries like Australia and India. This will make things tougher for China to become a super power.
China and US are working hard to attain / retain the super power crown. Hope, a third country finally takes the position and great it will be when it happens to be India.
So long as world continues to the ill-gotten wealth in US DOLLERS, the Chinese will remain vulnerable. Chinese have a crude way of dominating even friends. The past year has done huge damage to China. The glass of the trust is broken. The clear indication coming from the reduced exports.
New cold war is indeed different. USSR had a block with it’s satellite states who stuck around with USSR from second world war till 1990. China has ring of states who tolerate her despite dislike. The far away trading partners have lost confidence, so with no committed market beyond her own borders and limited export capacity in the armament market sustenance may come under pressure particularly with huge commitment in all the worldwide projects of roads and ports.
If the money saved in cuts and commissions is deployed in capacity building in defense to become an exporter of arms we could be looking at different future for us.
So long as China is not able to print unlimited money forex reserves of 4 Trillion may not take her very far.
everybody knows the situation the author has explained. why does he assume that the think tanks in india and USA are not aware of the new situation?
Chinese writer . It seems an article flashed as a part of psychological propaganda by PLA . It completely ignores or down plays — the scale and type of RESISTANCE offered by the Indian armed forces this time , which even PLA can not forget so easily and conveniently as the Honourable Professor from JNU wants readers to believe . One thing more on statement that China is an emerging economic power house and now onward it gives them a tactical or strategic advantage over America or India in high seas or on landlocked borders , is too simplistic observation . Both countries , individually or jointly or collectively with other countries which Chinese think or make ” UNFRIEND ” are CAPABLE of offering matching RESISTANCE . Lesson from 2020 s engagement are 1 Any misadventure by any of the conflicting parties can boom rage
2 It has became practically impossible to change the borders with military might , or obliterate the existence of even a small country by big country . 3 Cost of future conflicts will become prohibitive for all parties to the conflict.
I am sure they already know it
We dont expect anything favourable to india from the insects of JNU..
China has a great strength in that Communist Party of China has great influence and discipline which is a strong bond. The leader relies on this for his authority, but if the leader makes a great mistake then he has to go but this leads to great infighting as there is no obvious candidate to replace him.
This will lead to unravelling of the whole party. This strength is also its main weakness as well.
Let us suppose that there is a military conflict with India, which will happen in the near future, mark my words.
What if India is not defeated but instead scores a victory over China?
Tibet will be free. But China will lose everything.
In a way China has done India a favour which has changed our thinking that there can be no trust between China and India. Period.
When the chips are down India can not and should not rely on anyone except itself.
This is a important lesson Indian policy makers needed as they had blinded themselves to believe in fairytales.
Let’s hope for all our sakes Indian ruling class learns this lesson quick.
Jai Hind
We should also avoid the fantasy that someone will come and pull out all our chestnuts from the fire.
Nehru’s fondness for socialism was way different based on his personal experience of UK both in UK and in India. Current crop of govt. servants are frogs in the well with no foreign policy experience with Russia or China or USA. Cold war will keep India in trouble as before.