For the first time in over a century, world’s largest & most liquid bond market doesn’t have an Aaa rating. Over the past decade, US govt’s fiscal metrics have deteriorated considerably.
For assessing effectiveness of the pact, it would be worthwhile to see if India’s share in UK’s imports & UK’s share in India’s exports see a material pick-up over time.
The flip-flops on Trump’s tariff policy have led to a wave of dollar-selling. Stronger Asian currencies & weaker dollar will help address US’ trade imbalances with Asia.
In the current fiscal year, tax and non-tax revenue collections could take a hit. The projections will need to be recalibrated in light of the uncertain environment.
The growth projections for the US seem to be at odds with rising probability of recession put out by various agencies. Tariffs may weigh on US & China the most.
On 2 April, US President Donald Trump announced the implementation of reciprocal tariffs on about 60 countries, escalating global trade tensions. On 9 April,...
Loan growth is likely to stay sluggish this yr due to weak demand & cautious approach on unsecured lending. Going forward, gap between credit growth & deposit growth is likely to shrink.
March has been a good month for equity & currency, backed by FPI inflows & weak dollar. Going forward, tariffs, Chinese markets, oil prices & corporate earnings may have a role to play.
While IMF welcomes India's shift towards debt-based fiscal anchor, it recommends improvements to the framework, besides endorsing exchange rate flexibility & other steps.
Clean energy is “no longer the sideshow, it is the show”, BVR Subrahmanyam told the Odisha summit, warning India to lead the global shift or risk others’ tech dominance.
Dubai airshow crash & pilot death have rekindled concerns over pilot safety, and need for smarter automated systems that can step in when G-forces, temporary loss of consciousness hit the pilot.
None of Pakistan’s PMs has lasted 5 years. That the current PM has given Asim Munir 5 years shows that of all military dictatorships history has seen, Pakistan’s is most creative.
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