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After almost eight years New Delhi witnessed an incident of the bomb blast which refreshes some memories of the past like in 2012 this time Israelis again targeted on Indian soil. On the day of beating retreat(29th January 2021), a low-intensity IED blast took place near the Israel Embassy. Tehran’s Intelligence Agency has allegedly struck twice on Indian soil to retaliate against Israel cover offensive on nuclear facilities. In the incident of 2021 An Envelope was recovered from the blast site which was addressed to Israel Ambassador and in the envelope, a letter was also recovered which warned about bigger conspiracy and avenge the deaths of an Iranian scientist who was allegedly killed by Israel Intelligence Agency and the assassination of Iranian General who was assassinated in the early 2020s by the United States.
The Timings and Events Forces To Raise Eyebrows
This incident has raised eyebrows or as the blast took place in time when India is in the mode of republic day celebrations adding to it the day was also marked 29th Anniversary of Indo-Israel friendship the timing when IED blast took place was said to be around 5 PM when beating retreat just begun.
Revival of Past
This is the second time that Israel diplomat targeted on Indian soil first time in 2012 when a sticky bomb was used to attack Israeli diplomat and Iranians were behind that attack where Israeli diplomats escaped with few injuries and now in 2021 in an almost similar fashion the attack was carried out the only difference that no was injured in the blast.
In the context of these ongoing tensions, it is crucial to understand how Iran’s terror bombings reflect the precarious state of security in the Middle East and the potential for further escalation.
The Warning From Israel: Iran’s Hand and Game of Retaliation
The blast at the embassy suspects Iran role and its obvious to point fingers towards Iran because the present posture of Iran has reflected boldness, sense of revenge/retaliation. It may be possible that Iran captalize opportunities to send a loud and a clear retaliatory message to Israel and indirectly to the United States. Almost the same situation took place in 2012 when Iran was battling through sanctions and Israel- US nexus was building pressure on Tehran. Israel in 2012 clearly warned Iran by saying ‘Israel will indeed strike Iran in 2012’ and back then it was a high possibility that Israel might carry out strike against Iran’s nuclear facilities to send a retaliatory message to Israelis covert operations. In February 2012, Iran intelligence agency carried out attacks on Israeli diplomats at New Delhi. It is for the fact that Iran Intelligence Agencies always acted in a retaliatory response to Israel Covert Operations and actions by targeting the Jewish population or Israeli diplomats and consulates in specifically chosen regions.
The Nuclear Deal
The current status of JCPOA hangs in balance and with Israel and Hamas at war with Iran under suspicion, the deal might face more trouble. In 2021 Iran gave warning that since Trump administration had withdrawn from the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action(JCPOA) It would soon resume developing/enrichment of uranium as the deal is on the verge of collapse and taking the advantage of US withdrawal Iran has now officially started enrichment of uranium and making some strong maneuvers in the fulfilment of Iran’s national interests from few months. The JCPOA mandated Iran to restrict the use of uranium and only limit to develop energy so that it could not develop Nuclear Weapons in exchange for the lifting of sanctions
Why New Delhi Tangled Between Two Rivals
In 2012 New Delhi was chosen by Iran to carry out attacks against Israel In 2012 and again in 2021 New Delhi was chosen here the question arises why New Delhi is tangling between Israel and Iran the answer is direct and straight- India’s foreign policy towards Iran it is on the fact that if New Delhi decides to go against Iran it would do more harm than good to India’s Interest especially harming the strategic interests towards Afghanistan and Central Asia. Iran chose India because it believed that India won’t go against Iran at least on record and on the other hand to keep maneuvering smoothly with Israel, India would investigate the whole case and issue statement of assurances thus, keeping the trust of Israel in their court. Targeting Israeli Missions in countries which are friendly to Israel or countries in Europe or countries where it would take time for detection of culprits or raise level of suspicion is not a new tactics of Iran Intelligence Agency but a safety card for their attacks and to send message at important occasions as an reminder to Mossad about Iran’s offensive capabilities in and aborad to target Israelis. There are very few examples where Israeli missions targeted in the middle east region rest the history speaks most of the Israeli embassies were targeted out of the hostile regions/countries to Israel.
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