Short of a big bang that throws off the best-laid plans of India’s decision-makers, the pros for attending SAARC summit in Pakistan are beginning to outweigh the cons.
With Afghanistan on the agenda, Pakistan has said it would be open to India participating in the summit virtually or in person, but sources said New Delhi is considering its options.
China is no longer the elephant in the SAARC room, it occupies the entire zoo. India would rather jump over its neighbourhood and build ties with US, France, UK, Russia, and the Quad.
Pakistan downgraded diplomatic ties after India scrapped Article 370, but the countries could now reinstate high commissioners in each other’s capitals.
The coronavirus crisis left global leaders scratching their heads. But Modi saw an opportunity and launched a diplomatic blitzkrieg — first with SAARC, then with NAM.
Subcontinent’s political and security environment today is more suitable for a resolution than in 1988. But the most important difference is that the key interlocutors — IK Gujral and Nawaz Sharif — are no romantics.
Administrative efficiency and targeted schemes can ease frictions, but they cannot offset the competitiveness loss from expensive imported intermediates.
Armenia has procured significant defence equipment from India, including artillery guns, multi-barrel rocket launchers, air defence system, sniper rifles, weapons locating radars, anti-drone weapons.
The key to fighting a war successfully, or even launching it, is a clear objective. That’s an entirely political call. It isn’t emotional or purely military.
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