This comes amid looming uncertainties as Trump’s tariff regime kicks in. RBI also revised its growth estimates for FY25-26, lowering GDP estimates by 20 points to 6.5% from 6.7%.
RBI Monetary Policy Committee member Ram Singh says Budget 2025 provides opportunity for govt to show it is doing its part to address growth-inflation dynamics.
RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das said that while slowing growth was a concern, the next quarters would look better. Inflation, though, is a more immediate concern & would ease only in Q4.
Change in stance signals possibility of rate cuts, potentially as early as December, depending on inflation trends & global economy. Growth projection for FY 2024-25 retained at 7.2%.
Israel-Iran conflict, along with outlook on inflation & growth in an uncertain global environment will be key areas of concerns for new members of the reconstituted committee.
Four out of six members vote to maintain repo rate while two vote for 25 basis point reduction. RBI governor cites rise in headline inflation in June, primarily driven by food component.
Monetary Policy Committee Friday kept the repo rate unchanged at 6.50% for an eighth straight policy meeting, in a continued attempt towards bringing down inflation to 4% target.
Repo rate was raised by 250 basis points between May 2022 and February 2023. Robust growth to provide space for monetary policy to remain focused on bringing inflation down to 4% target.
While the Russia-Ukraine war saw the BJP projecting PM Modi as a ‘vishwaguru’ who could end international conflicts, the party has made a nuanced shift in its electoral strategy vis-à-vis the West Asia war.
Report on impact of AI emergence—drawing upon depositions from several ministries—confirms that the developments come in the absence of AI laws or considerations over them.
It’s easy to understand why the government can’t speak the hard truth. When this war ends, as all wars do, India’s interests will lie with both the winner and the loser.
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