India’s fuel demand slips to 10-month low in September, govt data shows

Part of the reason was owing to seasonal maintenance of the refineries, analyst says. Demand for Indian oil expected to pick up during the winter season.

FIle Photo of a worker holding a nozzle to pump petrol into a vehicle at a fuel station in Mumbai, India, 21 May, 2018 | Reuters

India’s monthly fuel demand in September was at the lowest since November 2021, government data released on Friday showed.

Total monthly fuel demand in September fell 3.6% from August, although it was up 8.1% when compared with September 2021.

“When we look at the drop in Indian oil demand, part of it had to do with seasonal maintenance of the refineries, not necessarily a softening of the economy,” said Phil Flynn, analyst at Price Futures Group in Chicago.

“We expect that the demand for India is going to pick up here very, very shortly as we get into winter.”

Consumption of fuel, a proxy for oil demand, totaled 17.18 million tonnes in September, up from 15.89 million tonnes a year earlier, data from the Petroleum Planning and Analysis Cell (PPAC) of the Oil Ministry showed.

Sales of diesel, or gasoil, rose about 13.4% year-on-year to 6.26 million tones, but dropped 1.4% month-on-month to a one-year low.

Sales of gasoline, or petrol, were 8.8% higher from a year earlier at 2.83 million tonnes.

Preliminary sales data from earlier this month showed gasoline and gasoil sales by Indian state refiners rose sharply in September from a year earlier, signaling a pick-up in industrial activity ahead of the festive season from October.

Sales of bitumen, used for making roads, were up about 16%, while fuel oil use edged up 9% in September.

Cooking gas or liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) sales increased 3.5% to 2.45 million tonnes, while naphtha sales fell 6.4% to 1.08 million tonnes.

Indian state refiners plan to lock-in more of their crude supplies in term deals, worried that tighter Western sanctions on Russia, including from the EU, could curb future supplies in already tight markets, sources at state refiners said this week.

Domestic Sales (in million tonnes):

2022 2022 2022 2021 2021 2021

Sept August July Sept August July

Diesel 6.26 6.34 6.64 5.52 5.61 6.14

Petrol 2.83 3.01 2.81 2.60 2.69 2.63

LPG 2.45 2.40 2.41 2.36 2.32 2.37

Naphtha 1.08 1.16 1.14 1.15 0.94 1.22

Jet fuel 0.59 0.60 0.58 0.41 0.38 0.32

Kerosene 0.04 0.03 0.02 0.13 0.13 0.13

Fuel Oil 0.59 0.60 0.56 0.54 0.52 0.47

Bitumen 0.47 0.47 0.44 0.41 0.31 0.44

TOTAL 17.18 17.81 17.61 15.89 15.31 16.60