It's advantage Congress if exit poll predictions hold true — Rajasthan, Chhattisgarh and Madhya Pradesh following the anti-incumbency trend and voting BJP out.
New Delhi: The...
Political science departments can contribute a lot by introducing graduate level courses on research methods. This will help understand the findings of a poll.
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There is a clear majority among media and pollsters in terms of favouring ruling party. Ground reality is different in Stronghold of Central Ruling party states UP, Maharastra, Bihar, MP, Rajasthan, Haryana, Chattisgarh, HP, Goa, Uttarakhand, Gujarat and Jharkhand. predicted loss of around 140 seats in the above States should be compensated in other states. Kerala, Tamilnadu, Andhra, Karnataka, Telengana, Odisha, West Bengal and Punjab where the total seats are 205 . Chances of gaining 140 seats from these states are very difficult. So BJP and allies NDA will get 170 plus but Congress and its allies UPA (NCP, JD S, RJD, DMK plus minor parties and Others will get 360 plus . There is a chance for UPA and others (TMC, BSP, SP, TDP) forming a Government with 300 plus seats. BJD, TRS, YSRC will not have numbers to support 170 plus NDA. We never know
Apart from the ‘Worm’s eye view’ and the ‘Bird’s eye view’, there is another ‘view’: the ‘political bias’ of the commentators and the ‘analysts’ who join the TV debates and discussions on Exit Polls and who write for newspapers and magazines before the counting day. ON any TV debate on this subject ( and on most other political subjects) anchors of some TV channels try their best ( usually by shouting others down) to steer the discourse towards their own view or belief ( or, wishful thinking). . This was witnessed clearly during the prelude to the UPA in 2004 and “FEAR” of the very same UPA sinking in 2014. It is being seriously tried, NOW too, for the 2019 results. Mercifully, their crude attempts can reach only a small segment of ‘urban’ voters who cannot make any significant difference to the general outcome. For others, it is either sheer cacophony or, something eminently to be ignored altogether. Funnily enough, everyone of them will come out with their own versions of “I told you so” on the day of results and thereafter..
There is a clear majority among media and pollsters in terms of favouring ruling party. Ground reality is different in Stronghold of Central Ruling party states UP, Maharastra, Bihar, MP, Rajasthan, Haryana, Chattisgarh, HP, Goa, Uttarakhand, Gujarat and Jharkhand. predicted loss of around 140 seats in the above States should be compensated in other states. Kerala, Tamilnadu, Andhra, Karnataka, Telengana, Odisha, West Bengal and Punjab where the total seats are 205 . Chances of gaining 140 seats from these states are very difficult. So BJP and allies NDA will get 170 plus but Congress and its allies UPA (NCP, JD S, RJD, DMK plus minor parties and Others will get 360 plus . There is a chance for UPA and others (TMC, BSP, SP, TDP) forming a Government with 300 plus seats. BJD, TRS, YSRC will not have numbers to support 170 plus NDA. We never know
Gibberish . Don’t write useless articles
Win bjp r congrss r 3rd frnt
But. Dpl india a Ground bs
Don’t fgt hindu Muslims and Dalits. Plsss
My INDIA NO1 world. Plss keep unty bhai
Apart from the ‘Worm’s eye view’ and the ‘Bird’s eye view’, there is another ‘view’: the ‘political bias’ of the commentators and the ‘analysts’ who join the TV debates and discussions on Exit Polls and who write for newspapers and magazines before the counting day. ON any TV debate on this subject ( and on most other political subjects) anchors of some TV channels try their best ( usually by shouting others down) to steer the discourse towards their own view or belief ( or, wishful thinking). . This was witnessed clearly during the prelude to the UPA in 2004 and “FEAR” of the very same UPA sinking in 2014. It is being seriously tried, NOW too, for the 2019 results. Mercifully, their crude attempts can reach only a small segment of ‘urban’ voters who cannot make any significant difference to the general outcome. For others, it is either sheer cacophony or, something eminently to be ignored altogether. Funnily enough, everyone of them will come out with their own versions of “I told you so” on the day of results and thereafter..
What exactly is the author trying to say? Incoherent gibberish.
He doesnt know himself! No conclusion 🙂
I did not find any useful information or analysis, particularly about 2019 elections. Waste of space!
True! Big article but no outcome! Wasted my time reading this.