New Delhi: Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi has championed free trade in global forums over the years, but his record back home appears to be one of rising protectionism.
The government has increased import tariffs over the last two years to curb cheap goods from abroad and support small- and medium-sized local manufacturers. In November, Modi pulled India out of the world’s biggest regional trade deal. And earlier this month, Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman proposed in her budget to change rules that will allow the government to ban the import of any goods it deems harmful to domestic industries.
“Clause (f) of the section 11(2) empowers the Central Government, for prevention of injury to the economy of the country by the uncontrolled import or export of gold or silver, to prohibit their import or export. This clause is being amended to include “any other goods” (in addition to gold and silver) in its ambit.”
— Nirmala Sitharaman, India’s finance minister
Sitharaman also raised import levies on medical equipment, footwear and furniture in the budget, and said the government will strengthen rules to allow for additional levies to be imposed when imports of some goods surge significantly.
“The trade measures announced in the budget are indeed somewhat worrying,” said Pravin Krishna, a professor of international economics and business at John Hopkins University in Washington. “They indicate a backslide of the liberalization process that began three decades back.”
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Growth Goals
In January 2018, Modi used a keynote speech at the World Economic Forum in Davos to lament the rising trend of protectionism, calling on fellow leaders to embrace more open trade. He’s taken steps over the years to reduce barriers to foreign investment and make it easier to do business in the country, as part of his goal to double the size of the economy to $5 trillion.
However, with the economy’s sharp downturn since last year and domestic industries under pressure, Modi’s government is strengthening barriers again. Unemployment is at a 45-year high and growth is set for its weakest performance in more than a decade in the current fiscal year.
Arvind Panagariya, a Columbia University professor and a former adviser to Modi, said the budget proposals show a “a disturbing pattern” emerging in India’s trade policy. “We have chosen to punish our consumers to protect our inefficient small producers, which will never become globally competitive,” he wrote in the Economic Times newspaper.
U.S. Tensions
Government officials deny that the nation is becoming more protectionist. “After the global financial crisis the trend toward globalization has actually sort of reversed across the world,” said Krishnamurthy Subramanian, the chief economic adviser in the Finance Ministry.
Modi first announced curbs on non-essential imports in 2018 to rein in the current account deficit and halt a rout in the rupee at a time when investors were dumping emerging-market assets.
That same year his government also announced tit-for-tat tariffs on some U.S. goods after President Donald Trump slapped additional levies on steel and aluminum from India. Trade tensions between the two countries have been simmering for a while already, with Trump complaining about tariffs as high as 100% on Harley-Davidson Inc. motorcycles.
Trump is due to visit New Delhi later this month, by when India hopes to have a trade deal with the U.S. and is sweetening its offer for market access to American products. If clinched, it would be India’s first deal since it walked out of the China-backed Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership, or RCEP.
While some nations in the RCEP grouping are keen for India to join the treaty, Malaysia’s Deputy Trade and Industry Minister Ong Kian Ming said Monday that some of New Delhi’s demands, particularly with regard to access for its services professionals, may not be so easily accepted.
Amitendu Palit, a senior research fellow at the National University of Singapore, said India is raising trade barriers while at the same time trying to boost foreign investment, leaving the world “very confused.”
“It’s kind of selective globalization,” he said. “Unfortunately, the two don’t work in exclusion.” – Bloomberg
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India is growing in all of the industry but we have long way to go. There are some industry where we are experts and there are some where we are not. So this kind of new trend like Selective globalization might help only the industries where we are not grown fully. This might be a new approach and we don’t want to let other countries to ruin our existing business. Eg. RCEP has not been signed by indian govt because this is going to spoil indian business more than getting benefits.
So it’s fair to say we don’t want only to be a worlds market just to sell everyone’s stuff. Lets make our business also grow well so that we will have a sustainable economy and growth in per capita income.
This might be a win win situation for the world and for India.
Modi being a free trader is only a myth. His record as Gujarat CM more than proves this. Since the media was so focused on the riots of 2002, no attention was paid to his record as an administrator. In reality Modi is an extreme left wing Marxist, whose dream is for the government to occupy the commanding heights of the economy.
Our CEA also appears to contradict himself. He denies we are protectionist , yet accepts that globalization is in reverse gear all over the world. isn’t India also following that trend then, instead of being a leader or champion of open trade ?
In the current year budget, the Government has increased customs duties across board on toys, even brooms are not spared! The benefit of such steep increase will benefit the Baniyas, not consumers. This government is providing incentive for inefficiency amongst Indian manufacturers and traders.
Socialist Modi murdabad